Trader consensus favors 27°C at 33% implied probability over 26°C at 27.5%, driven by the latest Israel Meteorological Service forecasts signaling a sharp temperature surge to unseasonably warm levels around 26–27°C on April 18 amid building high pressure and plummeting humidity over the past 48 hours. Global models like ECMWF and GFS show ensemble means near 26.5°C at Ben Gurion Airport—the market's NOAA resolution station—with slight spreads from variable cloud cover, sea breezes, and upper-level ridge positioning that could tip outcomes by 1°C. Current readings in Tel Aviv near 19°C underscore the rapid warming trend, exceeding April climatological highs of 23–24°C; daily IMS updates and new model runs through April 17 will refine this tight uncertainty.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on April 18?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on April 18?
27°C 34%
26°C 33%
28°C or higher 17%
25°C 14%
신규
신규
2026.04.18
18°C or below
1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
10%
25°C
14%
26°C
33%
27°C
34%
28°C or higher
17%
27°C 34%
26°C 33%
28°C or higher 17%
25°C 14%
신규
신규
2026.04.18
18°C or below
$298 거래량
1%
19°C
$155 거래량
<1%
20°C
$450 거래량
1%
21°C
$373 거래량
1%
22°C
$161 거래량
1%
23°C
$119 거래량
1%
24°C
$71 거래량
10%
25°C
$110 거래량
14%
26°C
$34 거래량
33%
27°C
$171 거래량
34%
28°C or higher
$230 거래량
17%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus favors 27°C at 33% implied probability over 26°C at 27.5%, driven by the latest Israel Meteorological Service forecasts signaling a sharp temperature surge to unseasonably warm levels around 26–27°C on April 18 amid building high pressure and plummeting humidity over the past 48 hours. Global models like ECMWF and GFS show ensemble means near 26.5°C at Ben Gurion Airport—the market's NOAA resolution station—with slight spreads from variable cloud cover, sea breezes, and upper-level ridge positioning that could tip outcomes by 1°C. Current readings in Tel Aviv near 19°C underscore the rapid warming trend, exceeding April climatological highs of 23–24°C; daily IMS updates and new model runs through April 17 will refine this tight uncertainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: Apr 16, 2026, 1:07 AM ET
거래량
$1,985종료일
2026.04.18마켓 개설일
Apr 16, 2026, 1:07 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus favors 27°C at 33% implied probability over 26°C at 27.5%, driven by the latest Israel Meteorological Service forecasts signaling a sharp temperature surge to unseasonably warm levels around 26–27°C on April 18 amid building high pressure and plummeting humidity over the past 48 hours. Global models like ECMWF and GFS show ensemble means near 26.5°C at Ben Gurion Airport—the market's NOAA resolution station—with slight spreads from variable cloud cover, sea breezes, and upper-level ridge positioning that could tip outcomes by 1°C. Current readings in Tel Aviv near 19°C underscore the rapid warming trend, exceeding April climatological highs of 23–24°C; daily IMS updates and new model runs through April 17 will refine this tight uncertainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$1,985종료일
2026.04.18마켓 개설일
Apr 16, 2026, 1:07 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus favors 27°C at 33% implied probability over 26°C at 27.5%, driven by the latest Israel Meteorological Service forecasts signaling a sharp temperature surge to unseasonably warm levels around 26–27°C on April 18 amid building high pressure and plummeting humidity over the past 48 hours. Global models like ECMWF and GFS show ensemble means near 26.5°C at Ben Gurion Airport—the market's NOAA resolution station—with slight spreads from variable cloud cover, sea breezes, and upper-level ridge positioning that could tip outcomes by 1°C. Current readings in Tel Aviv near 19°C underscore the rapid warming trend, exceeding April climatological highs of 23–24°C; daily IMS updates and new model runs through April 17 will refine this tight uncertainty.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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