Trader consensus on Polymarket favors an 11°C high in Moscow at 33% implied probability, closely trailed by 13°C (26%), 10°C (21%), and 12°C (21%), driven by the latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts projecting daytime peaks of 11–13°C amid partly cloudy conditions and morning showers. Roshydromet data indicates a northerly breeze at 2 m/s capping temperatures in a cool air mass, with 69% precipitation odds limiting solar heating despite recent April warming trends (monthly mean 7.9°C vs. 6.9°C normal). Differentiating factors include cloud persistence versus afternoon clearing and urban heat effects at official stations like Vnukovo; hourly observations through evening will refine the outcome as models show spread from insolation variability.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트4월 16일 모스크바에서 가장 높은 온도는?
4월 16일 모스크바에서 가장 높은 온도는?
11°C 31.1%
13°C 26%
10°C 23.0%
12°C 22%
신규
$44,353 거래량
신규
$44,353 거래량
2026.04.16
8°C 이하
<1%
9°C
2%
10°C
23%
11°C
31%
12°C
22%
13°C
26%
14°C
1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C 이상
<1%
11°C 31.1%
13°C 26%
10°C 23.0%
12°C 22%
신규
$44,353 거래량
신규
$44,353 거래량
2026.04.16
8°C 이하
$13,769 거래량
<1%
9°C
$3,261 거래량
2%
10°C
$3,023 거래량
23%
11°C
$2,040 거래량
31%
12°C
$1,707 거래량
22%
13°C
$4,320 거래량
26%
14°C
$4,729 거래량
1%
15°C
$3,670 거래량
<1%
16°C
$3,360 거래량
<1%
17°C
$2,857 거래량
<1%
18°C 이상
$2,498 거래량
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors an 11°C high in Moscow at 33% implied probability, closely trailed by 13°C (26%), 10°C (21%), and 12°C (21%), driven by the latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts projecting daytime peaks of 11–13°C amid partly cloudy conditions and morning showers. Roshydromet data indicates a northerly breeze at 2 m/s capping temperatures in a cool air mass, with 69% precipitation odds limiting solar heating despite recent April warming trends (monthly mean 7.9°C vs. 6.9°C normal). Differentiating factors include cloud persistence versus afternoon clearing and urban heat effects at official stations like Vnukovo; hourly observations through evening will refine the outcome as models show spread from insolation variability.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: Apr 14, 2026, 6:19 PM ET
거래량
$44,353종료일
2026.04.16마켓 개설일
Apr 14, 2026, 6:19 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors an 11°C high in Moscow at 33% implied probability, closely trailed by 13°C (26%), 10°C (21%), and 12°C (21%), driven by the latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts projecting daytime peaks of 11–13°C amid partly cloudy conditions and morning showers. Roshydromet data indicates a northerly breeze at 2 m/s capping temperatures in a cool air mass, with 69% precipitation odds limiting solar heating despite recent April warming trends (monthly mean 7.9°C vs. 6.9°C normal). Differentiating factors include cloud persistence versus afternoon clearing and urban heat effects at official stations like Vnukovo; hourly observations through evening will refine the outcome as models show spread from insolation variability.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$44,353종료일
2026.04.16마켓 개설일
Apr 14, 2026, 6:19 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket favors an 11°C high in Moscow at 33% implied probability, closely trailed by 13°C (26%), 10°C (21%), and 12°C (21%), driven by the latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts projecting daytime peaks of 11–13°C amid partly cloudy conditions and morning showers. Roshydromet data indicates a northerly breeze at 2 m/s capping temperatures in a cool air mass, with 69% precipitation odds limiting solar heating despite recent April warming trends (monthly mean 7.9°C vs. 6.9°C normal). Differentiating factors include cloud persistence versus afternoon clearing and urban heat effects at official stations like Vnukovo; hourly observations through evening will refine the outcome as models show spread from insolation variability.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
자주 묻는 질문