Official observations from the National Weather Service and NOAA at Miami International Airport (KMIA)—the standard station for resolution—confirm the highest temperature on April 15 reached 80-81°F, driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for this outcome. This aligns with below-normal conditions for mid-April, where climatological averages hover around 84°F, influenced by persistent cloud cover, onshore breezes, and cooler air masses from recent frontal passages suppressing daytime heating. Model forecasts from prior days had converged on this range, with minimal divergence among ECMWF and GFS ensembles. Scenarios challenging this include rare data revisions from quality control audits, though such adjustments are infrequent post-preliminary reporting; final monthly climate summaries expected soon will solidify the record.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트4월 15일 마이애미에서 가장 높은 기온?
4월 15일 마이애미에서 가장 높은 기온?
80-81°F 100.0%
82-83°F <1%
84-85°F <1%
86-87°F <1%
$97,167 거래량
$97,167 거래량
2026.04.15
80-81°F
100%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88°F 이상
<1%
80-81°F 100.0%
82-83°F <1%
84-85°F <1%
86-87°F <1%
$97,167 거래량
$97,167 거래량
2026.04.15
80-81°F
$17,805 거래량
100%
82-83°F
$14,788 거래량
<1%
84-85°F
$8,562 거래량
<1%
86-87°F
$4,641 거래량
<1%
88°F 이상
$4,873 거래량
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from the National Weather Service and NOAA at Miami International Airport (KMIA)—the standard station for resolution—confirm the highest temperature on April 15 reached 80-81°F, driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for this outcome. This aligns with below-normal conditions for mid-April, where climatological averages hover around 84°F, influenced by persistent cloud cover, onshore breezes, and cooler air masses from recent frontal passages suppressing daytime heating. Model forecasts from prior days had converged on this range, with minimal divergence among ECMWF and GFS ensembles. Scenarios challenging this include rare data revisions from quality control audits, though such adjustments are infrequent post-preliminary reporting; final monthly climate summaries expected soon will solidify the record.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: Apr 13, 2026, 12:17 AM ET
거래량
$97,167종료일
2026.04.15마켓 개설일
Apr 13, 2026, 12:17 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from the National Weather Service and NOAA at Miami International Airport (KMIA)—the standard station for resolution—confirm the highest temperature on April 15 reached 80-81°F, driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for this outcome. This aligns with below-normal conditions for mid-April, where climatological averages hover around 84°F, influenced by persistent cloud cover, onshore breezes, and cooler air masses from recent frontal passages suppressing daytime heating. Model forecasts from prior days had converged on this range, with minimal divergence among ECMWF and GFS ensembles. Scenarios challenging this include rare data revisions from quality control audits, though such adjustments are infrequent post-preliminary reporting; final monthly climate summaries expected soon will solidify the record.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$97,167종료일
2026.04.15마켓 개설일
Apr 13, 2026, 12:17 AM ETOfficial observations from the National Weather Service and NOAA at Miami International Airport (KMIA)—the standard station for resolution—confirm the highest temperature on April 15 reached 80-81°F, driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for this outcome. This aligns with below-normal conditions for mid-April, where climatological averages hover around 84°F, influenced by persistent cloud cover, onshore breezes, and cooler air masses from recent frontal passages suppressing daytime heating. Model forecasts from prior days had converged on this range, with minimal divergence among ECMWF and GFS ensembles. Scenarios challenging this include rare data revisions from quality control audits, though such adjustments are infrequent post-preliminary reporting; final monthly climate summaries expected soon will solidify the record.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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