Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in short-range forecasts for Istanbul's highest temperature on April 18, with implied probabilities clustering around 13–14°C amid divergent model guidance. The Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) projects a daytime maximum of 17°C under partly cloudy skies with northerly winds at 22 km/h, but international sources like timeanddate.com indicate cooler 15–16°C highs due to persistent drizzle and overcast conditions from a lingering low-pressure system over the Black Sea. Recent observations show April 16 highs near 15–17°C despite cloud cover, highlighting spring variability influenced by cool continental air masses; key differentiators include cloud thickness reducing insolation and wind-driven mixing. New MGM and ECMWF updates expected within 24 hours could sharpen resolution as the synoptic pattern evolves.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Istanbul on April 18?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on April 18?
13°C 39%
14°C 39%
12°C 26%
15°C 23%
신규
신규
2026.04.18
9°C or below
2%
10°C
17%
11°C
19%
12°C
26%
13°C
32%
14°C
27%
15°C
23%
16°C
20%
17°C
14%
18°C
3%
19°C or higher
2%
13°C 39%
14°C 39%
12°C 26%
15°C 23%
신규
신규
2026.04.18
9°C or below
$5 거래량
2%
10°C
$0 거래량
17%
11°C
$20 거래량
19%
12°C
$0 거래량
26%
13°C
$8 거래량
32%
14°C
$13 거래량
27%
15°C
$0 거래량
23%
16°C
$0 거래량
20%
17°C
$0 거래량
14%
18°C
$5 거래량
3%
19°C or higher
$105 거래량
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in short-range forecasts for Istanbul's highest temperature on April 18, with implied probabilities clustering around 13–14°C amid divergent model guidance. The Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) projects a daytime maximum of 17°C under partly cloudy skies with northerly winds at 22 km/h, but international sources like timeanddate.com indicate cooler 15–16°C highs due to persistent drizzle and overcast conditions from a lingering low-pressure system over the Black Sea. Recent observations show April 16 highs near 15–17°C despite cloud cover, highlighting spring variability influenced by cool continental air masses; key differentiators include cloud thickness reducing insolation and wind-driven mixing. New MGM and ECMWF updates expected within 24 hours could sharpen resolution as the synoptic pattern evolves.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: Apr 16, 2026, 1:50 AM ET
거래량
$56종료일
2026.04.18마켓 개설일
Apr 16, 2026, 1:50 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in short-range forecasts for Istanbul's highest temperature on April 18, with implied probabilities clustering around 13–14°C amid divergent model guidance. The Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) projects a daytime maximum of 17°C under partly cloudy skies with northerly winds at 22 km/h, but international sources like timeanddate.com indicate cooler 15–16°C highs due to persistent drizzle and overcast conditions from a lingering low-pressure system over the Black Sea. Recent observations show April 16 highs near 15–17°C despite cloud cover, highlighting spring variability influenced by cool continental air masses; key differentiators include cloud thickness reducing insolation and wind-driven mixing. New MGM and ECMWF updates expected within 24 hours could sharpen resolution as the synoptic pattern evolves.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$56종료일
2026.04.18마켓 개설일
Apr 16, 2026, 1:50 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in short-range forecasts for Istanbul's highest temperature on April 18, with implied probabilities clustering around 13–14°C amid divergent model guidance. The Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) projects a daytime maximum of 17°C under partly cloudy skies with northerly winds at 22 km/h, but international sources like timeanddate.com indicate cooler 15–16°C highs due to persistent drizzle and overcast conditions from a lingering low-pressure system over the Black Sea. Recent observations show April 16 highs near 15–17°C despite cloud cover, highlighting spring variability influenced by cool continental air masses; key differentiators include cloud thickness reducing insolation and wind-driven mixing. New MGM and ECMWF updates expected within 24 hours could sharpen resolution as the synoptic pattern evolves.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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