Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters implied probabilities around 74-79°F for Dallas Love Field's highest temperature on April 18, reflecting uncertainty from a strong cold front forecast to sweep through Friday night into Saturday per National Weather Service guidance, ushering scattered showers, storms, and post-frontal cooling from recent 80s highs. Differentiating factors include model ensemble spreads in GFS and ECMWF runs on frontal timing, cloud persistence limiting solar insolation, and southerly wind shear aiding boundary layer mixing—potentially capping peaks at 74-75°F if showers linger, or allowing 78-79°F recovery under partial clearing. NWS point forecast matrix projects a max near 69°F, but traders weigh historical April variability (normals ~77°F) and spring above-normal outlook amid drought. New 00z model outputs tonight could sharpen odds.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Dallas on April 18?
Highest temperature in Dallas on April 18?
76-77°F 27%
74-75°F 25%
78-79°F 18%
72-73°F 11%
신규
$17,672 거래량
신규
$17,672 거래량
2026.04.18
67°F or below
3%
68-69°F
9%
70-71°F
8%
72-73°F
11%
74-75°F
25%
76-77°F
27%
78-79°F
18%
80-81°F
9%
82-83°F
3%
84-85°F
1%
86°F or higher
1%
76-77°F 27%
74-75°F 25%
78-79°F 18%
72-73°F 11%
신규
$17,672 거래량
신규
$17,672 거래량
2026.04.18
67°F or below
$3,727 거래량
3%
68-69°F
$1,369 거래량
9%
70-71°F
$724 거래량
8%
72-73°F
$755 거래량
11%
74-75°F
$509 거래량
25%
76-77°F
$363 거래량
27%
78-79°F
$483 거래량
18%
80-81°F
$837 거래량
9%
82-83°F
$1,535 거래량
3%
84-85°F
$2,035 거래량
1%
86°F or higher
$5,568 거래량
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters implied probabilities around 74-79°F for Dallas Love Field's highest temperature on April 18, reflecting uncertainty from a strong cold front forecast to sweep through Friday night into Saturday per National Weather Service guidance, ushering scattered showers, storms, and post-frontal cooling from recent 80s highs. Differentiating factors include model ensemble spreads in GFS and ECMWF runs on frontal timing, cloud persistence limiting solar insolation, and southerly wind shear aiding boundary layer mixing—potentially capping peaks at 74-75°F if showers linger, or allowing 78-79°F recovery under partial clearing. NWS point forecast matrix projects a max near 69°F, but traders weigh historical April variability (normals ~77°F) and spring above-normal outlook amid drought. New 00z model outputs tonight could sharpen odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: Apr 16, 2026, 1:07 AM ET
거래량
$17,672종료일
2026.04.18마켓 개설일
Apr 16, 2026, 1:07 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters implied probabilities around 74-79°F for Dallas Love Field's highest temperature on April 18, reflecting uncertainty from a strong cold front forecast to sweep through Friday night into Saturday per National Weather Service guidance, ushering scattered showers, storms, and post-frontal cooling from recent 80s highs. Differentiating factors include model ensemble spreads in GFS and ECMWF runs on frontal timing, cloud persistence limiting solar insolation, and southerly wind shear aiding boundary layer mixing—potentially capping peaks at 74-75°F if showers linger, or allowing 78-79°F recovery under partial clearing. NWS point forecast matrix projects a max near 69°F, but traders weigh historical April variability (normals ~77°F) and spring above-normal outlook amid drought. New 00z model outputs tonight could sharpen odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$17,672종료일
2026.04.18마켓 개설일
Apr 16, 2026, 1:07 AM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket clusters implied probabilities around 74-79°F for Dallas Love Field's highest temperature on April 18, reflecting uncertainty from a strong cold front forecast to sweep through Friday night into Saturday per National Weather Service guidance, ushering scattered showers, storms, and post-frontal cooling from recent 80s highs. Differentiating factors include model ensemble spreads in GFS and ECMWF runs on frontal timing, cloud persistence limiting solar insolation, and southerly wind shear aiding boundary layer mixing—potentially capping peaks at 74-75°F if showers linger, or allowing 78-79°F recovery under partial clearing. NWS point forecast matrix projects a max near 69°F, but traders weigh historical April variability (normals ~77°F) and spring above-normal outlook amid drought. New 00z model outputs tonight could sharpen odds.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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