Official hourly observations from Shanghai Meteorological Bureau stations, including Xujiahui observatory, confirm a midday peak temperature of 19°C today, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for this outcome as the day's high. This aligns with China Meteorological Administration (CMA) forecast models, which predicted limited warming under persistent overcast skies, cool northerly winds, and high humidity suppressing further rises—conditions corroborated by real-time satellite imagery and surface data. Mid-April climatological averages hover around 19°C, providing historical precedent. Realistic challenges include abrupt clearing skies enabling late-afternoon solar heating to 20°C, though diminishing solar angles post-4 PM local time render this unlikely before market resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Shanghai on April 16?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on April 16?
19°C 100.0%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
22°C or higher <1%
신규
$287,738 거래량
신규
$287,738 거래량
2026.04.16
19°C
100%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C or higher
<1%
19°C 100.0%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
22°C or higher <1%
신규
$287,738 거래량
신규
$287,738 거래량
2026.04.16
19°C
$46,988 거래량
100%
20°C
$90,267 거래량
<1%
21°C
$24,010 거래량
<1%
22°C or higher
$34,241 거래량
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official hourly observations from Shanghai Meteorological Bureau stations, including Xujiahui observatory, confirm a midday peak temperature of 19°C today, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for this outcome as the day's high. This aligns with China Meteorological Administration (CMA) forecast models, which predicted limited warming under persistent overcast skies, cool northerly winds, and high humidity suppressing further rises—conditions corroborated by real-time satellite imagery and surface data. Mid-April climatological averages hover around 19°C, providing historical precedent. Realistic challenges include abrupt clearing skies enabling late-afternoon solar heating to 20°C, though diminishing solar angles post-4 PM local time render this unlikely before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: Apr 14, 2026, 7:23 PM ET
거래량
$287,738종료일
2026.04.16마켓 개설일
Apr 14, 2026, 7:23 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official hourly observations from Shanghai Meteorological Bureau stations, including Xujiahui observatory, confirm a midday peak temperature of 19°C today, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for this outcome as the day's high. This aligns with China Meteorological Administration (CMA) forecast models, which predicted limited warming under persistent overcast skies, cool northerly winds, and high humidity suppressing further rises—conditions corroborated by real-time satellite imagery and surface data. Mid-April climatological averages hover around 19°C, providing historical precedent. Realistic challenges include abrupt clearing skies enabling late-afternoon solar heating to 20°C, though diminishing solar angles post-4 PM local time render this unlikely before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$287,738종료일
2026.04.16마켓 개설일
Apr 14, 2026, 7:23 PM ETOfficial hourly observations from Shanghai Meteorological Bureau stations, including Xujiahui observatory, confirm a midday peak temperature of 19°C today, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for this outcome as the day's high. This aligns with China Meteorological Administration (CMA) forecast models, which predicted limited warming under persistent overcast skies, cool northerly winds, and high humidity suppressing further rises—conditions corroborated by real-time satellite imagery and surface data. Mid-April climatological averages hover around 19°C, providing historical precedent. Realistic challenges include abrupt clearing skies enabling late-afternoon solar heating to 20°C, though diminishing solar angles post-4 PM local time render this unlikely before market resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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