Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a highest temperature of 23°C at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport today, with 98.9% implied probability, driven by aligned forecast model ensembles from ECMWF, GFS, and China Meteorological Administration projections showing a midday peak under persistent cloudy skies and light northerly winds. Morning observations report temperatures around 18–20°C, consistent with gradual warming expected before evening cooldown amid 25% precipitation risk suppressing extremes. This positioning mirrors recent April patterns, where cloud cover has capped highs near seasonal norms of 22–24°C. Realistic challenges include unexpected sun breaks boosting to 24°C or heavier showers limiting to 22°C; final hourly METAR reports will confirm the outcome by day's end.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트4월 16일 우한에서 가장 높은 온도는?
4월 16일 우한에서 가장 높은 온도는?
23°C 99.5%
24°C <1%
26°C 이상 <1%
21°C <1%
$271,984 거래량
$271,984 거래량
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
100%
24°C
1%
25°C
<1%
26°C 이상
<1%
23°C 99.5%
24°C <1%
26°C 이상 <1%
21°C <1%
$271,984 거래량
$271,984 거래량
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
100%
24°C
1%
25°C
<1%
26°C 이상
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: Apr 14, 2026, 6:19 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a highest temperature of 23°C at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport today, with 98.9% implied probability, driven by aligned forecast model ensembles from ECMWF, GFS, and China Meteorological Administration projections showing a midday peak under persistent cloudy skies and light northerly winds. Morning observations report temperatures around 18–20°C, consistent with gradual warming expected before evening cooldown amid 25% precipitation risk suppressing extremes. This positioning mirrors recent April patterns, where cloud cover has capped highs near seasonal norms of 22–24°C. Realistic challenges include unexpected sun breaks boosting to 24°C or heavier showers limiting to 22°C; final hourly METAR reports will confirm the outcome by day's end.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
자주 묻는 질문