Trader sentiment on Polymarket clusters tightly around 32–35°C for Lagos' highest temperature on April 18, driven by AccuWeather's latest forecast of a 33°C peak under variable clouds and late-day thunderstorms (90% precipitation chance), capping potential extremes amid the Nigerian Meteorological Agency's (NiMet) predicted early rainy season onset. Recent observational data shows cooling from early April's heatwave highs above 35°C (peaking 35.5°C on April 10) to 31.5°C on April 15, reflecting increased cloudiness and sea breezes moderating coastal conditions. Key differentiators include storm timing—delayed convection favors 34–35°C via prolonged solar heating, while earlier showers align with 32°C—and urban heat island amplification in Lagos. Model consensus (GFS, ECMWF) remains uncertain; NiMet updates due April 17 could shift probabilities.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Lagos on April 18?
Highest temperature in Lagos on April 18?
33°C 24%
34°C 21%
32°C 20%
35°C 19%
신규
신규
2026.04.18
27°C or below
4%
28°C
1%
29°C
4%
30°C
3%
31°C
13%
32°C
20%
33°C
24%
34°C
21%
35°C
19%
36°C
3%
37°C or higher
2%
33°C 24%
34°C 21%
32°C 20%
35°C 19%
신규
신규
2026.04.18
27°C or below
$4,271 거래량
4%
28°C
$457 거래량
1%
29°C
$193 거래량
4%
30°C
$41 거래량
3%
31°C
$0 거래량
13%
32°C
$0 거래량
20%
33°C
$0 거래량
24%
34°C
$0 거래량
21%
35°C
$0 거래량
19%
36°C
$186 거래량
3%
37°C or higher
$47 거래량
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader sentiment on Polymarket clusters tightly around 32–35°C for Lagos' highest temperature on April 18, driven by AccuWeather's latest forecast of a 33°C peak under variable clouds and late-day thunderstorms (90% precipitation chance), capping potential extremes amid the Nigerian Meteorological Agency's (NiMet) predicted early rainy season onset. Recent observational data shows cooling from early April's heatwave highs above 35°C (peaking 35.5°C on April 10) to 31.5°C on April 15, reflecting increased cloudiness and sea breezes moderating coastal conditions. Key differentiators include storm timing—delayed convection favors 34–35°C via prolonged solar heating, while earlier showers align with 32°C—and urban heat island amplification in Lagos. Model consensus (GFS, ECMWF) remains uncertain; NiMet updates due April 17 could shift probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: Apr 16, 2026, 2:03 AM ET
거래량
$4,862종료일
2026.04.18마켓 개설일
Apr 16, 2026, 2:03 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader sentiment on Polymarket clusters tightly around 32–35°C for Lagos' highest temperature on April 18, driven by AccuWeather's latest forecast of a 33°C peak under variable clouds and late-day thunderstorms (90% precipitation chance), capping potential extremes amid the Nigerian Meteorological Agency's (NiMet) predicted early rainy season onset. Recent observational data shows cooling from early April's heatwave highs above 35°C (peaking 35.5°C on April 10) to 31.5°C on April 15, reflecting increased cloudiness and sea breezes moderating coastal conditions. Key differentiators include storm timing—delayed convection favors 34–35°C via prolonged solar heating, while earlier showers align with 32°C—and urban heat island amplification in Lagos. Model consensus (GFS, ECMWF) remains uncertain; NiMet updates due April 17 could shift probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$4,862종료일
2026.04.18마켓 개설일
Apr 16, 2026, 2:03 AM ETTrader sentiment on Polymarket clusters tightly around 32–35°C for Lagos' highest temperature on April 18, driven by AccuWeather's latest forecast of a 33°C peak under variable clouds and late-day thunderstorms (90% precipitation chance), capping potential extremes amid the Nigerian Meteorological Agency's (NiMet) predicted early rainy season onset. Recent observational data shows cooling from early April's heatwave highs above 35°C (peaking 35.5°C on April 10) to 31.5°C on April 15, reflecting increased cloudiness and sea breezes moderating coastal conditions. Key differentiators include storm timing—delayed convection favors 34–35°C via prolonged solar heating, while earlier showers align with 32°C—and urban heat island amplification in Lagos. Model consensus (GFS, ECMWF) remains uncertain; NiMet updates due April 17 could shift probabilities.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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