Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects deep uncertainty for Busan's highest temperature on April 18, with market-implied odds evenly split across outcomes from 15°C or below to 25°C or higher, mirroring divergent short-range forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA), GFS, and ECMWF models. Mid-April climatology in coastal Busan favors highs near 18°C based on historical data, but recent mild conditions—clear skies and highs of 21-25°C under a high-pressure ridge—contrast with potential cold fronts introducing variability through cloud cover, southerly wind shifts, and sea-breeze moderation. Ensemble spreads exceed 5°C, hinging on upper-level trough progression and diurnal solar heating; KMA briefings on April 17 will clarify steering patterns ahead of resolution at Gimhae International Airport.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Busan on April 18?
Highest temperature in Busan on April 18?
15°C or below 50%
16°C 50%
17°C 50%
18°C 50%
신규
신규
2026.04.18
15°C or below
50%
16°C
50%
17°C
50%
18°C
50%
19°C
50%
20°C
50%
21°C
50%
22°C
50%
23°C
50%
24°C
50%
25°C or higher
50%
15°C or below 50%
16°C 50%
17°C 50%
18°C 50%
신규
신규
2026.04.18
15°C or below
$0 거래량
50%
16°C
$0 거래량
50%
17°C
$0 거래량
50%
18°C
$0 거래량
50%
19°C
$0 거래량
50%
20°C
$0 거래량
50%
21°C
$0 거래량
50%
22°C
$0 거래량
50%
23°C
$0 거래량
50%
24°C
$0 거래량
50%
25°C or higher
$0 거래량
50%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects deep uncertainty for Busan's highest temperature on April 18, with market-implied odds evenly split across outcomes from 15°C or below to 25°C or higher, mirroring divergent short-range forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA), GFS, and ECMWF models. Mid-April climatology in coastal Busan favors highs near 18°C based on historical data, but recent mild conditions—clear skies and highs of 21-25°C under a high-pressure ridge—contrast with potential cold fronts introducing variability through cloud cover, southerly wind shifts, and sea-breeze moderation. Ensemble spreads exceed 5°C, hinging on upper-level trough progression and diurnal solar heating; KMA briefings on April 17 will clarify steering patterns ahead of resolution at Gimhae International Airport.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: Apr 16, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
거래량
$0종료일
2026.04.18마켓 개설일
Apr 16, 2026, 12:28 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects deep uncertainty for Busan's highest temperature on April 18, with market-implied odds evenly split across outcomes from 15°C or below to 25°C or higher, mirroring divergent short-range forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA), GFS, and ECMWF models. Mid-April climatology in coastal Busan favors highs near 18°C based on historical data, but recent mild conditions—clear skies and highs of 21-25°C under a high-pressure ridge—contrast with potential cold fronts introducing variability through cloud cover, southerly wind shifts, and sea-breeze moderation. Ensemble spreads exceed 5°C, hinging on upper-level trough progression and diurnal solar heating; KMA briefings on April 17 will clarify steering patterns ahead of resolution at Gimhae International Airport.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$0종료일
2026.04.18마켓 개설일
Apr 16, 2026, 12:28 AM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket reflects deep uncertainty for Busan's highest temperature on April 18, with market-implied odds evenly split across outcomes from 15°C or below to 25°C or higher, mirroring divergent short-range forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA), GFS, and ECMWF models. Mid-April climatology in coastal Busan favors highs near 18°C based on historical data, but recent mild conditions—clear skies and highs of 21-25°C under a high-pressure ridge—contrast with potential cold fronts introducing variability through cloud cover, southerly wind shifts, and sea-breeze moderation. Ensemble spreads exceed 5°C, hinging on upper-level trough progression and diurnal solar heating; KMA briefings on April 17 will clarify steering patterns ahead of resolution at Gimhae International Airport.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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