Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly favors 32°C or higher (88.5% implied probability) for Panama City's highest temperature at Marcos A. Gelabert International Airport on April 18, driven by consistent forecast model guidance projecting highs of 33–34°C amid peak dry-season conditions. April climatology features average highs near 32°C (89°F), with daily maxima rarely below 31°C due to the equatorial location's intense solar insolation, minimal cloud cover, and high-pressure dominance suppressing convection. Recent monthly outlooks from AccuWeather and Weather.com reinforce this, showing sustained upper-80s to low-90s Fahrenheit across the period, with low model spread in GFS and ECMWF ensembles. Official airport observations will resolve the market; expect final NOAA or ETESA updates by midday.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트4월 18일, 파나마시티에서 가장 높은 기온을 기록하셨나요?
4월 18일, 파나마시티에서 가장 높은 기온을 기록하셨나요?
32°C or higher 86%
30°C 9.2%
31°C 4.0%
29°C <1%
$19,881 거래량
$19,881 거래량
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
9%
31°C
4%
32°C or higher
86%
32°C or higher 86%
30°C 9.2%
31°C 4.0%
29°C <1%
$19,881 거래량
$19,881 거래량
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
9%
31°C
4%
32°C or higher
86%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: Apr 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly favors 32°C or higher (88.5% implied probability) for Panama City's highest temperature at Marcos A. Gelabert International Airport on April 18, driven by consistent forecast model guidance projecting highs of 33–34°C amid peak dry-season conditions. April climatology features average highs near 32°C (89°F), with daily maxima rarely below 31°C due to the equatorial location's intense solar insolation, minimal cloud cover, and high-pressure dominance suppressing convection. Recent monthly outlooks from AccuWeather and Weather.com reinforce this, showing sustained upper-80s to low-90s Fahrenheit across the period, with low model spread in GFS and ECMWF ensembles. Official airport observations will resolve the market; expect final NOAA or ETESA updates by midday.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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