Skip to main content
Market icon

Highest temperature in Moscow on April 19?

Market icon

Highest temperature in Moscow on April 19?

4월 17

4월 18

4월 19

4월 17

4월 18

4월 19

6°C 39%

9°C or higher 28%

5°C 23%

7°C 22%

Polymarket
신규

6°C 39%

9°C or higher 28%

5°C 23%

7°C 22%

Polymarket
신규

-1°C or below

$140 거래량

2%

0°C

$0 거래량

2%

1°C

$0 거래량

3%

2°C

$0 거래량

15%

3°C

$0 거래량

18%

4°C

$0 거래량

21%

5°C

$0 거래량

23%

6°C

$3 거래량

23%

7°C

$0 거래량

22%

8°C

$0 거래량

22%

9°C or higher

$0 거래량

28%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus reflects high uncertainty for Moscow's highest temperature on April 19, with market-implied odds evenly split at 50% across outcomes from -1°C or below to 9°C or higher, driven by an incoming cold front forecast by Russia's Meteo center. Recent developments include a spring thunderstorm on April 15 amid above-norm temperatures (+1.5–2.5°C), followed by warnings from forecaster Alexander Shuvalov of a weekend cold snap bringing cloudy conditions, rain, and possible snow on April 19. Short-range models like GFS and ECMWF show divergence on peak daytime heating versus cloud-induced suppression, with highs projected around 3–8°C amid northerly winds and precipitation risk. Updated Roshydromet guidance expected within 24 hours could clarify steering patterns and frontal intensity differentiating sub-freezing versus single-digit outcomes. Historical mid-April highs average 10–12°C, underscoring spring variability.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$140
종료일
2026.04.19
마켓 개설일
Apr 17, 2026, 12:42 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus reflects high uncertainty for Moscow's highest temperature on April 19, with market-implied odds evenly split at 50% across outcomes from -1°C or below to 9°C or higher, driven by an incoming cold front forecast by Russia's Meteo center. Recent developments include a spring thunderstorm on April 15 amid above-norm temperatures (+1.5–2.5°C), followed by warnings from forecaster Alexander Shuvalov of a weekend cold snap bringing cloudy conditions, rain, and possible snow on April 19. Short-range models like GFS and ECMWF show divergence on peak daytime heating versus cloud-induced suppression, with highs projected around 3–8°C amid northerly winds and precipitation risk. Updated Roshydromet guidance expected within 24 hours could clarify steering patterns and frontal intensity differentiating sub-freezing versus single-digit outcomes. Historical mid-April highs average 10–12°C, underscoring spring variability.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$140
종료일
2026.04.19
마켓 개설일
Apr 17, 2026, 12:42 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

외부 링크에 주의하세요.

자주 묻는 질문

"Highest temperature in Moscow on April 19?"은 11개의 가능한 결과가 있는 Polymarket의 예측 마켓으로, 트레이더들이 어떤 결과가 발생할지에 따라 주식을 매수 및 매도합니다. 현재 선두 결과는 28%의 "9°C or higher"이며, 이어서 23%의 "5°C"입니다. 가격은 실시간 크라우드소싱 확률을 반영합니다. 예를 들어 28¢에 거래되는 주식은 마켓이 해당 결과에 28%의 확률을 부여함을 의미합니다. 이 확률은 트레이더들이 새로운 진전과 정보에 반응함에 따라 지속적으로 변화합니다. 정확한 결과의 주식은 마켓 정산 시 각 $1에 교환 가능합니다.

"Highest temperature in Moscow on April 19?"은 Polymarket에서 새로 생성된 마켓입니다, Apr 17, 2026에 시작됨. 초기 마켓으로서 확률을 설정하고 마켓의 초기 가격 신호를 수립하는 첫 번째 트레이더 중 하나가 될 기회입니다. 이 페이지를 북마크하여 마켓이 성장함에 따라 거래량과 거래 활동을 추적할 수도 있습니다.

"Highest temperature in Moscow on April 19?"에서 거래하려면 이 페이지에 나열된 11개의 가용 결과를 탐색하세요. 각 결과에는 마켓의 내재 확률을 나타내는 현재 가격이 표시됩니다. 포지션을 잡으려면 가장 가능성이 높다고 생각하는 결과를 선택하고, 찬성이면 "Yes", 반대이면 "No"를 선택하고, 금액을 입력하고 "거래"를 클릭하세요. 마켓이 정산될 때 선택한 결과가 맞으면 "Yes" 주식은 각 $1을 지급합니다. 틀리면 $0을 지급합니다. 수익을 확정하거나 손실을 줄이고 싶다면 정산 전 언제든지 주식을 매도할 수 있습니다.

"Highest temperature in Moscow on April 19?"의 현재 유력 후보는 28%의 "9°C or higher"이며, 마켓이 해당 결과에 28%의 확률을 부여합니다. 두 번째로 가까운 결과는 23%의 "5°C"입니다. 이 확률은 트레이더들의 주식 매수 및 매도에 따라 실시간으로 업데이트되어 가장 가능성 있는 결과에 대한 최신 집단 시각을 반영합니다. 새로운 정보가 나타남에 따라 확률이 어떻게 변화하는지 자주 확인하거나 이 페이지를 북마크하세요.

"Highest temperature in Moscow on April 19?"의 정산 규칙은 각 결과가 승자로 선언되기 위해 정확히 무엇이 일어나야 하는지를 정의합니다 — 결과를 결정하는 데 사용되는 공식 데이터 소스를 포함합니다. 이 페이지의 댓글 위 "규칙" 섹션에서 완전한 정산 기준을 검토할 수 있습니다. 거래 전 규칙을 주의 깊게 읽는 것을 권장합니다. 이 마켓이 어떻게 정산되는지를 관리하는 정확한 조건, 예외 사항, 출처를 명시하고 있습니다.