Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 17°C (40.5%) and 18°C (38.0%) for London's highest temperature on April 17, driven by the latest Met Office and BBC Weather guidance forecasting peaks in this narrow range amid light cloud and gentle south-westerly breezes. Ensemble models from ECMWF and GFS show tight clustering around 17.5°C, but subtle differences in afternoon cloud breaks and boundary layer mixing create genuine uncertainty, potentially tipping the maximum by 1°C at key stations like Heathrow. This mild setup stems from a weakening high-pressure ridge allowing partial insolation, above the typical April average of 13-15°C. Overnight model updates and morning observations will refine the outlook before resolution based on official daily maximums.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트4월 17일 런던에서 가장 높은 기온?
4월 17일 런던에서 가장 높은 기온?
17°C 39%
18°C 38%
19°C 11%
16°C 7.4%
$20,256 거래량
$20,256 거래량
12°C 이하
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
1%
16°C
7%
17°C
39%
18°C
38%
19°C
11%
20°C
3%
21°C
1%
22°C 이상
<1%
17°C 39%
18°C 38%
19°C 11%
16°C 7.4%
$20,256 거래량
$20,256 거래량
12°C 이하
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
1%
16°C
7%
17°C
39%
18°C
38%
19°C
11%
20°C
3%
21°C
1%
22°C 이상
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: Apr 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 17°C (40.5%) and 18°C (38.0%) for London's highest temperature on April 17, driven by the latest Met Office and BBC Weather guidance forecasting peaks in this narrow range amid light cloud and gentle south-westerly breezes. Ensemble models from ECMWF and GFS show tight clustering around 17.5°C, but subtle differences in afternoon cloud breaks and boundary layer mixing create genuine uncertainty, potentially tipping the maximum by 1°C at key stations like Heathrow. This mild setup stems from a weakening high-pressure ridge allowing partial insolation, above the typical April average of 13-15°C. Overnight model updates and morning observations will refine the outlook before resolution based on official daily maximums.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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