Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 72-73°F (28.5% implied probability) and 70-71°F (27.0%) for the highest temperature at Los Angeles International Airport (KLAX) on April 17, reflecting tight clustering in the latest GFS and ECMWF model runs showing highs in the low-to-mid 70s with just a 2-3°F ensemble spread. Persistent morning marine layer—low stratus clouds advected onshore amid cool sea surface temperatures around 60°F and moderate westerly winds 5-10 mph—caps daytime heating, with partial burn-off expected by midday but lingering coastal advection preventing hotter outcomes. Recent observations through April 15 confirm this pattern, differentiating the top bins via variability in boundary layer mixing and afternoon solar insolation; NWS hourly updates and morning soundings tomorrow could refine the peak before resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Los Angeles on April 17?
Highest temperature in Los Angeles on April 17?
72-73°F 32%
70-71°F 27%
74-75°F 17%
76-77°F 6%
신규
$16,005 거래량
신규
$16,005 거래량
2026.04.17
63°F or below
<1%
64-65°F
2%
66-67°F
2%
68-69°F
5%
70-71°F
27%
72-73°F
32%
74-75°F
17%
76-77°F
6%
78-79°F
2%
80-81°F
2%
82°F or higher
1%
72-73°F 32%
70-71°F 27%
74-75°F 17%
76-77°F 6%
신규
$16,005 거래량
신규
$16,005 거래량
2026.04.17
63°F or below
$1,583 거래량
<1%
64-65°F
$1,751 거래량
2%
66-67°F
$1,056 거래량
2%
68-69°F
$1,228 거래량
5%
70-71°F
$723 거래량
27%
72-73°F
$819 거래량
32%
74-75°F
$382 거래량
17%
76-77°F
$754 거래량
6%
78-79°F
$1,444 거래량
2%
80-81°F
$1,638 거래량
2%
82°F or higher
$4,632 거래량
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 72-73°F (28.5% implied probability) and 70-71°F (27.0%) for the highest temperature at Los Angeles International Airport (KLAX) on April 17, reflecting tight clustering in the latest GFS and ECMWF model runs showing highs in the low-to-mid 70s with just a 2-3°F ensemble spread. Persistent morning marine layer—low stratus clouds advected onshore amid cool sea surface temperatures around 60°F and moderate westerly winds 5-10 mph—caps daytime heating, with partial burn-off expected by midday but lingering coastal advection preventing hotter outcomes. Recent observations through April 15 confirm this pattern, differentiating the top bins via variability in boundary layer mixing and afternoon solar insolation; NWS hourly updates and morning soundings tomorrow could refine the peak before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: Apr 15, 2026, 6:06 AM ET
거래량
$16,005종료일
2026.04.17마켓 개설일
Apr 15, 2026, 6:06 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 72-73°F (28.5% implied probability) and 70-71°F (27.0%) for the highest temperature at Los Angeles International Airport (KLAX) on April 17, reflecting tight clustering in the latest GFS and ECMWF model runs showing highs in the low-to-mid 70s with just a 2-3°F ensemble spread. Persistent morning marine layer—low stratus clouds advected onshore amid cool sea surface temperatures around 60°F and moderate westerly winds 5-10 mph—caps daytime heating, with partial burn-off expected by midday but lingering coastal advection preventing hotter outcomes. Recent observations through April 15 confirm this pattern, differentiating the top bins via variability in boundary layer mixing and afternoon solar insolation; NWS hourly updates and morning soundings tomorrow could refine the peak before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$16,005종료일
2026.04.17마켓 개설일
Apr 15, 2026, 6:06 AM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 72-73°F (28.5% implied probability) and 70-71°F (27.0%) for the highest temperature at Los Angeles International Airport (KLAX) on April 17, reflecting tight clustering in the latest GFS and ECMWF model runs showing highs in the low-to-mid 70s with just a 2-3°F ensemble spread. Persistent morning marine layer—low stratus clouds advected onshore amid cool sea surface temperatures around 60°F and moderate westerly winds 5-10 mph—caps daytime heating, with partial burn-off expected by midday but lingering coastal advection preventing hotter outcomes. Recent observations through April 15 confirm this pattern, differentiating the top bins via variability in boundary layer mixing and afternoon solar insolation; NWS hourly updates and morning soundings tomorrow could refine the peak before resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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