Latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts project Chengdu's highest temperature on April 18 at 28-29°C under mostly sunny skies with light winds, driving trader consensus toward 29°C at 40% implied probability, followed by 30°C at 25.5%. This positioning reflects a strengthening high-pressure ridge over central China, fostering subsidence and radiational heating amid springtime warming trends, with recent daily highs on April 16-17 reaching 28°C—well above the mid-April historical average of 22-24°C per China Meteorological Administration data. Model agreement has tightened since yesterday's runs, reducing odds for lower outcomes, though lingering uncertainty from potential afternoon clouds or urban heat variations keeps 28°C viable at 16.5%; watch for China Meteorological Administration's evening update resolving the market based on Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport observations.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Chengdu on April 18?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on April 18?
29°C 37%
30°C 26%
28°C 17%
27°C 15%
신규
$17,562 거래량
신규
$17,562 거래량
2026.04.18
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
15%
28°C
17%
29°C
37%
30°C
26%
31°C
6%
32°C or higher
2%
29°C 37%
30°C 26%
28°C 17%
27°C 15%
신규
$17,562 거래량
신규
$17,562 거래량
2026.04.18
22°C or below
$3,079 거래량
<1%
23°C
$2,083 거래량
<1%
24°C
$1,298 거래량
1%
25°C
$1,709 거래량
1%
26°C
$2,071 거래량
1%
27°C
$573 거래량
15%
28°C
$695 거래량
17%
29°C
$935 거래량
37%
30°C
$1,033 거래량
26%
31°C
$3,262 거래량
6%
32°C or higher
$839 거래량
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts project Chengdu's highest temperature on April 18 at 28-29°C under mostly sunny skies with light winds, driving trader consensus toward 29°C at 40% implied probability, followed by 30°C at 25.5%. This positioning reflects a strengthening high-pressure ridge over central China, fostering subsidence and radiational heating amid springtime warming trends, with recent daily highs on April 16-17 reaching 28°C—well above the mid-April historical average of 22-24°C per China Meteorological Administration data. Model agreement has tightened since yesterday's runs, reducing odds for lower outcomes, though lingering uncertainty from potential afternoon clouds or urban heat variations keeps 28°C viable at 16.5%; watch for China Meteorological Administration's evening update resolving the market based on Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: Apr 16, 2026, 1:16 AM ET
거래량
$17,562종료일
2026.04.18마켓 개설일
Apr 16, 2026, 1:16 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts project Chengdu's highest temperature on April 18 at 28-29°C under mostly sunny skies with light winds, driving trader consensus toward 29°C at 40% implied probability, followed by 30°C at 25.5%. This positioning reflects a strengthening high-pressure ridge over central China, fostering subsidence and radiational heating amid springtime warming trends, with recent daily highs on April 16-17 reaching 28°C—well above the mid-April historical average of 22-24°C per China Meteorological Administration data. Model agreement has tightened since yesterday's runs, reducing odds for lower outcomes, though lingering uncertainty from potential afternoon clouds or urban heat variations keeps 28°C viable at 16.5%; watch for China Meteorological Administration's evening update resolving the market based on Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$17,562종료일
2026.04.18마켓 개설일
Apr 16, 2026, 1:16 AM ETLatest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts project Chengdu's highest temperature on April 18 at 28-29°C under mostly sunny skies with light winds, driving trader consensus toward 29°C at 40% implied probability, followed by 30°C at 25.5%. This positioning reflects a strengthening high-pressure ridge over central China, fostering subsidence and radiational heating amid springtime warming trends, with recent daily highs on April 16-17 reaching 28°C—well above the mid-April historical average of 22-24°C per China Meteorological Administration data. Model agreement has tightened since yesterday's runs, reducing odds for lower outcomes, though lingering uncertainty from potential afternoon clouds or urban heat variations keeps 28°C viable at 16.5%; watch for China Meteorological Administration's evening update resolving the market based on Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport observations.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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