PAGASA's latest forecast, updated April 16 morning, projects a 34°C high temperature for Metro Manila on April 17 under partly cloudy skies with isolated thunderstorm risks and 0% overall rain chance, anchoring trader consensus at 30.5% market-implied odds for that outcome while keeping 33°C (24%) and 35°C (22.5%) in tight contention. Differentiating factors include variable cloud cover potentially reducing solar insolation to cap peaks at 33°C or allowing urban heat island effects and dry season persistence to push toward 35°C, as seen in yesterday's 34.4°C record. ENSO-neutral conditions maintain typical April averages of 33-34°C without extremes; monitor intraday PAGASA observations for shifts ahead of resolution at Quezon City station.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Manila on April 17?
Highest temperature in Manila on April 17?
34°C 28%
33°C 24%
35°C 22%
32°C 13%
28°C or below
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
3%
32°C
13%
33°C
24%
34°C
31%
35°C
22%
36°C
12%
37°C
8%
38°C or higher
3%
34°C 28%
33°C 24%
35°C 22%
32°C 13%
28°C or below
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
3%
32°C
13%
33°C
24%
34°C
31%
35°C
22%
36°C
12%
37°C
8%
38°C or higher
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: Apr 15, 2026, 12:46 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
PAGASA's latest forecast, updated April 16 morning, projects a 34°C high temperature for Metro Manila on April 17 under partly cloudy skies with isolated thunderstorm risks and 0% overall rain chance, anchoring trader consensus at 30.5% market-implied odds for that outcome while keeping 33°C (24%) and 35°C (22.5%) in tight contention. Differentiating factors include variable cloud cover potentially reducing solar insolation to cap peaks at 33°C or allowing urban heat island effects and dry season persistence to push toward 35°C, as seen in yesterday's 34.4°C record. ENSO-neutral conditions maintain typical April averages of 33-34°C without extremes; monitor intraday PAGASA observations for shifts ahead of resolution at Quezon City station.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
자주 묻는 질문