National Weather Service forecasts indicate a high near 86°F in Houston on April 17 under mostly sunny skies and building high pressure aloft, fostering warm, humid conditions with only 20% precipitation odds and light southeast winds. However, trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward 82-83°F at 39.5% implied probability over 84-85°F at 30.5%, reflecting uncertainty from potential sea breeze incursions, lingering Gulf moisture capping boundary layer heating, and model spread—GFS ensembles leaning warmer while some runs show diurnal cloud development. This genuine forecast divergence, against April climatological highs around 79°F, underscores sensitivity to afternoon insolation and mixing; watch late April 16 updates from NOAA for refinement ahead of resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Houston on April 17?
Highest temperature in Houston on April 17?
82-83°F 40%
84-85°F 32%
80-81°F 15%
86-87°F 12%
$11,072 거래량
$11,072 거래량
79°F or below
5%
80-81°F
15%
82-83°F
40%
84-85°F
32%
86-87°F
12%
88-89°F
2%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
1%
94-95°F
1%
96-97°F
<1%
98°F or higher
<1%
82-83°F 40%
84-85°F 32%
80-81°F 15%
86-87°F 12%
$11,072 거래량
$11,072 거래량
79°F or below
5%
80-81°F
15%
82-83°F
40%
84-85°F
32%
86-87°F
12%
88-89°F
2%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
1%
94-95°F
1%
96-97°F
<1%
98°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: Apr 15, 2026, 6:06 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
National Weather Service forecasts indicate a high near 86°F in Houston on April 17 under mostly sunny skies and building high pressure aloft, fostering warm, humid conditions with only 20% precipitation odds and light southeast winds. However, trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward 82-83°F at 39.5% implied probability over 84-85°F at 30.5%, reflecting uncertainty from potential sea breeze incursions, lingering Gulf moisture capping boundary layer heating, and model spread—GFS ensembles leaning warmer while some runs show diurnal cloud development. This genuine forecast divergence, against April climatological highs around 79°F, underscores sensitivity to afternoon insolation and mixing; watch late April 16 updates from NOAA for refinement ahead of resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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