Official observations from the LaGuardia Airport (KLGA) station, the market's resolution source via Weather Underground, recorded a minimum temperature of 68-69°F on April 15, anchoring trader consensus at virtually 100% implied probability for that bin. This unusually warm overnight low—far above the mid-April climatological normal of around 45°F—stems from a persistent upper-level ridge fostering warm air advection, combined with urban heat island effects and lingering daytime heat from record-tying highs near 90°F at nearby Central Park. National Weather Service daily climate summaries confirm similar mild minima amid the heat event. Scenarios challenging this include rare post-finalization data revisions from automated observing systems, though market rules disregard such changes; traders await full data lock-in with minimal dissent.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트4월 15일 뉴욕에서 가장 기온이 낮으신가요?
4월 15일 뉴욕에서 가장 기온이 낮으신가요?
68-69°F 100.0%
59°F 이하 <1%
60-61°F <1%
62-63°F <1%
$232,664 거래량
$232,664 거래량
2026.04.16
59°F 이하
<1%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
100%
68-69°F 100.0%
59°F 이하 <1%
60-61°F <1%
62-63°F <1%
$232,664 거래량
$232,664 거래량
2026.04.16
59°F 이하
$4,264 거래량
<1%
60-61°F
$6,259 거래량
<1%
62-63°F
$5,200 거래량
<1%
64-65°F
$7,798 거래량
<1%
66-67°F
$8,314 거래량
<1%
68-69°F
$37,555 거래량
100%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from the LaGuardia Airport (KLGA) station, the market's resolution source via Weather Underground, recorded a minimum temperature of 68-69°F on April 15, anchoring trader consensus at virtually 100% implied probability for that bin. This unusually warm overnight low—far above the mid-April climatological normal of around 45°F—stems from a persistent upper-level ridge fostering warm air advection, combined with urban heat island effects and lingering daytime heat from record-tying highs near 90°F at nearby Central Park. National Weather Service daily climate summaries confirm similar mild minima amid the heat event. Scenarios challenging this include rare post-finalization data revisions from automated observing systems, though market rules disregard such changes; traders await full data lock-in with minimal dissent.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: Apr 13, 2026, 8:18 PM ET
거래량
$232,664종료일
2026.04.16마켓 개설일
Apr 13, 2026, 8:18 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from the LaGuardia Airport (KLGA) station, the market's resolution source via Weather Underground, recorded a minimum temperature of 68-69°F on April 15, anchoring trader consensus at virtually 100% implied probability for that bin. This unusually warm overnight low—far above the mid-April climatological normal of around 45°F—stems from a persistent upper-level ridge fostering warm air advection, combined with urban heat island effects and lingering daytime heat from record-tying highs near 90°F at nearby Central Park. National Weather Service daily climate summaries confirm similar mild minima amid the heat event. Scenarios challenging this include rare post-finalization data revisions from automated observing systems, though market rules disregard such changes; traders await full data lock-in with minimal dissent.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$232,664종료일
2026.04.16마켓 개설일
Apr 13, 2026, 8:18 PM ETOfficial observations from the LaGuardia Airport (KLGA) station, the market's resolution source via Weather Underground, recorded a minimum temperature of 68-69°F on April 15, anchoring trader consensus at virtually 100% implied probability for that bin. This unusually warm overnight low—far above the mid-April climatological normal of around 45°F—stems from a persistent upper-level ridge fostering warm air advection, combined with urban heat island effects and lingering daytime heat from record-tying highs near 90°F at nearby Central Park. National Weather Service daily climate summaries confirm similar mild minima amid the heat event. Scenarios challenging this include rare post-finalization data revisions from automated observing systems, though market rules disregard such changes; traders await full data lock-in with minimal dissent.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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