Current Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts project a high of 23°C in Tokyo on April 18 under cloudy skies occasionally clearing, with 10% precipitation odds, giving a slight edge to the 23°C+ outcome at 25.5% implied probability while trader consensus clusters tightly around 18-22°C across other outcomes. This reflects persistent subtropical high pressure driving recent mild spring highs of 20-21°C over the past week, but inherent short-range uncertainty in ensemble models—particularly cloud cover variability and weak sea breezes—creates the even spread, as fuller sunshine could boost urban heat island effects while overcast conditions cap peaks near climatological norms of 19-20°C. JMA updates tomorrow may sharpen guidance ahead of resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Tokyo on April 18?
Highest temperature in Tokyo on April 18?
20°C 34%
21°C 31%
19°C 22%
22°C 17%
신규
신규
2026.04.18
13°C or below
1%
14°C
1%
15°C
2%
16°C
2%
17°C
3%
18°C
7%
19°C
22%
20°C
34%
21°C
31%
22°C
17%
23°C or higher
11%
20°C 34%
21°C 31%
19°C 22%
22°C 17%
신규
신규
2026.04.18
13°C or below
$206 거래량
1%
14°C
$116 거래량
1%
15°C
$126 거래량
2%
16°C
$51 거래량
2%
17°C
$71 거래량
3%
18°C
$65 거래량
7%
19°C
$34 거래량
22%
20°C
$42 거래량
34%
21°C
$48 거래량
31%
22°C
$123 거래량
17%
23°C or higher
$171 거래량
11%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts project a high of 23°C in Tokyo on April 18 under cloudy skies occasionally clearing, with 10% precipitation odds, giving a slight edge to the 23°C+ outcome at 25.5% implied probability while trader consensus clusters tightly around 18-22°C across other outcomes. This reflects persistent subtropical high pressure driving recent mild spring highs of 20-21°C over the past week, but inherent short-range uncertainty in ensemble models—particularly cloud cover variability and weak sea breezes—creates the even spread, as fuller sunshine could boost urban heat island effects while overcast conditions cap peaks near climatological norms of 19-20°C. JMA updates tomorrow may sharpen guidance ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: Apr 16, 2026, 12:41 AM ET
거래량
$1,021종료일
2026.04.18마켓 개설일
Apr 16, 2026, 12:41 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts project a high of 23°C in Tokyo on April 18 under cloudy skies occasionally clearing, with 10% precipitation odds, giving a slight edge to the 23°C+ outcome at 25.5% implied probability while trader consensus clusters tightly around 18-22°C across other outcomes. This reflects persistent subtropical high pressure driving recent mild spring highs of 20-21°C over the past week, but inherent short-range uncertainty in ensemble models—particularly cloud cover variability and weak sea breezes—creates the even spread, as fuller sunshine could boost urban heat island effects while overcast conditions cap peaks near climatological norms of 19-20°C. JMA updates tomorrow may sharpen guidance ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$1,021종료일
2026.04.18마켓 개설일
Apr 16, 2026, 12:41 AM ETCurrent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts project a high of 23°C in Tokyo on April 18 under cloudy skies occasionally clearing, with 10% precipitation odds, giving a slight edge to the 23°C+ outcome at 25.5% implied probability while trader consensus clusters tightly around 18-22°C across other outcomes. This reflects persistent subtropical high pressure driving recent mild spring highs of 20-21°C over the past week, but inherent short-range uncertainty in ensemble models—particularly cloud cover variability and weak sea breezes—creates the even spread, as fuller sunshine could boost urban heat island effects while overcast conditions cap peaks near climatological norms of 19-20°C. JMA updates tomorrow may sharpen guidance ahead of resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
자주 묻는 질문