Mexico City's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) latest regional forecast projects a maximum temperature of 28-30°C through the Valle de México, driving the 98.7% market-implied probability for 26°C or higher on April 18 amid strong trader consensus backed by real capital. This positioning reflects persistent high-pressure subsidence fostering clear skies and efficient daytime solar heating at the city's 2,240-meter elevation, where April climatological highs average 26°C (79°F) per historical NOAA-aligned data, with recent days already surpassing 27°C. Model ensembles from SMN and international sources show tight agreement, barring outlier scenarios like unexpected afternoon convection or low-level moisture influx reducing insolation—events with low likelihood given current upper-air patterns. Hourly observations from official stations, including Benito Juárez International Airport, will provide definitive resolution tomorrow.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트4월 18일 멕시코시티에서 가장 높은 기온을 기록하셨나요?
4월 18일 멕시코시티에서 가장 높은 기온을 기록하셨나요?
26°C 이상 98.4%
24°C 1.3%
25°C <1%
22°C <1%
$14,063 거래량
$14,063 거래량
16°C 이하
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C 이상
98%
26°C 이상 98.4%
24°C 1.3%
25°C <1%
22°C <1%
$14,063 거래량
$14,063 거래량
16°C 이하
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C 이상
98%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: Apr 16, 2026, 1:53 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mexico City's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) latest regional forecast projects a maximum temperature of 28-30°C through the Valle de México, driving the 98.7% market-implied probability for 26°C or higher on April 18 amid strong trader consensus backed by real capital. This positioning reflects persistent high-pressure subsidence fostering clear skies and efficient daytime solar heating at the city's 2,240-meter elevation, where April climatological highs average 26°C (79°F) per historical NOAA-aligned data, with recent days already surpassing 27°C. Model ensembles from SMN and international sources show tight agreement, barring outlier scenarios like unexpected afternoon convection or low-level moisture influx reducing insolation—events with low likelihood given current upper-air patterns. Hourly observations from official stations, including Benito Juárez International Airport, will provide definitive resolution tomorrow.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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