Latest China Meteorological Administration guidance forecasts a sunny high of 31°C for Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport on April 18, yet traders price 29°C as the leading outcome at 33.5% implied probability, with 28°C (24.5%) and 30°C (18.5%) in close contention, capturing uncertainty across global models like GFS and ECMWF that project clustered peaks of 28-30°C under variable cloud cover. This tight spread reflects recent transition from April 17's cloudy 27°C high amid lingering light rain, to sunnier conditions enhancing boundary layer heating and solar insolation in the Yangtze River basin. Differentiating factors include cloud opacity—persistent overcast capping peaks at 28°C, partial breaks pushing to 29-30°C, and full clearing enabling 31°C—against historical April averages near 25°C. New ensemble runs expected within hours could sharpen consensus ahead of resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Chongqing on April 18?
Highest temperature in Chongqing on April 18?
29°C 34%
28°C 26%
30°C 18%
31°C 9%
신규
$15,204 거래량
신규
$15,204 거래량
2026.04.18
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
2%
27°C
7%
28°C
26%
29°C
34%
30°C
18%
31°C
9%
32°C
2%
33°C or higher
1%
29°C 34%
28°C 26%
30°C 18%
31°C 9%
신규
$15,204 거래량
신규
$15,204 거래량
2026.04.18
23°C or below
$3,509 거래량
<1%
24°C
$4,236 거래량
1%
25°C
$420 거래량
1%
26°C
$1,316 거래량
2%
27°C
$1,416 거래량
7%
28°C
$415 거래량
26%
29°C
$332 거래량
34%
30°C
$343 거래량
18%
31°C
$883 거래량
9%
32°C
$1,544 거래량
2%
33°C or higher
$791 거래량
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest China Meteorological Administration guidance forecasts a sunny high of 31°C for Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport on April 18, yet traders price 29°C as the leading outcome at 33.5% implied probability, with 28°C (24.5%) and 30°C (18.5%) in close contention, capturing uncertainty across global models like GFS and ECMWF that project clustered peaks of 28-30°C under variable cloud cover. This tight spread reflects recent transition from April 17's cloudy 27°C high amid lingering light rain, to sunnier conditions enhancing boundary layer heating and solar insolation in the Yangtze River basin. Differentiating factors include cloud opacity—persistent overcast capping peaks at 28°C, partial breaks pushing to 29-30°C, and full clearing enabling 31°C—against historical April averages near 25°C. New ensemble runs expected within hours could sharpen consensus ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: Apr 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
거래량
$15,204종료일
2026.04.18마켓 개설일
Apr 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest China Meteorological Administration guidance forecasts a sunny high of 31°C for Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport on April 18, yet traders price 29°C as the leading outcome at 33.5% implied probability, with 28°C (24.5%) and 30°C (18.5%) in close contention, capturing uncertainty across global models like GFS and ECMWF that project clustered peaks of 28-30°C under variable cloud cover. This tight spread reflects recent transition from April 17's cloudy 27°C high amid lingering light rain, to sunnier conditions enhancing boundary layer heating and solar insolation in the Yangtze River basin. Differentiating factors include cloud opacity—persistent overcast capping peaks at 28°C, partial breaks pushing to 29-30°C, and full clearing enabling 31°C—against historical April averages near 25°C. New ensemble runs expected within hours could sharpen consensus ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$15,204종료일
2026.04.18마켓 개설일
Apr 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ETLatest China Meteorological Administration guidance forecasts a sunny high of 31°C for Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport on April 18, yet traders price 29°C as the leading outcome at 33.5% implied probability, with 28°C (24.5%) and 30°C (18.5%) in close contention, capturing uncertainty across global models like GFS and ECMWF that project clustered peaks of 28-30°C under variable cloud cover. This tight spread reflects recent transition from April 17's cloudy 27°C high amid lingering light rain, to sunnier conditions enhancing boundary layer heating and solar insolation in the Yangtze River basin. Differentiating factors include cloud opacity—persistent overcast capping peaks at 28°C, partial breaks pushing to 29-30°C, and full clearing enabling 31°C—against historical April averages near 25°C. New ensemble runs expected within hours could sharpen consensus ahead of resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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