Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in forecast models for Tel Aviv's April 17 high, with 35°C or higher at 33.5%, 34°C at 25.5%, and 33°C at 22.5%, driven by a strengthening high-pressure ridge over the eastern Mediterranean promoting subsidence warming and low humidity. The Israel Meteorological Service guidance points to a coastal plain maximum near 31°C with strong northerly winds potentially limiting sea-breeze cooling, while recent ECMWF and GFS ensemble runs favor hotter 34–36°C outcomes under hazy skies suppressing marine influence. This model spread captures unseasonal heat potential—well above April's typical 24°C average—amid inherent short-range forecast variability; watch overnight updates from official agencies for resolution shifts before tomorrow's observations.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on April 17?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on April 17?
35°C or higher 32%
34°C 29%
33°C 23%
32°C 10%
$12,555 거래량
$12,555 거래량
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
3%
31°C
5%
32°C
10%
33°C
23%
34°C
29%
35°C or higher
32%
35°C or higher 32%
34°C 29%
33°C 23%
32°C 10%
$12,555 거래량
$12,555 거래량
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
3%
31°C
5%
32°C
10%
33°C
23%
34°C
29%
35°C or higher
32%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: Apr 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in forecast models for Tel Aviv's April 17 high, with 35°C or higher at 33.5%, 34°C at 25.5%, and 33°C at 22.5%, driven by a strengthening high-pressure ridge over the eastern Mediterranean promoting subsidence warming and low humidity. The Israel Meteorological Service guidance points to a coastal plain maximum near 31°C with strong northerly winds potentially limiting sea-breeze cooling, while recent ECMWF and GFS ensemble runs favor hotter 34–36°C outcomes under hazy skies suppressing marine influence. This model spread captures unseasonal heat potential—well above April's typical 24°C average—amid inherent short-range forecast variability; watch overnight updates from official agencies for resolution shifts before tomorrow's observations.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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