Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward a 32°C high in Jakarta on April 18 at 34.5% implied probability, edging out 33°C at 27.5%, reflecting uncertainty in BMKG's latest forecasts showing cloudy conditions (berawan) across DKI Jakarta with daytime ranges of 24–30°C amid 73–95% humidity. These projections stem from persistent cloud cover and light rain risks suppressing peak solar heating, particularly in central areas (25–28°C), though southern and eastern districts could touch 30°C. Differentiating factors include Jakarta's urban heat island effect potentially pushing observed maxima higher at official stations like Halim Perdanakusuma, historical April averages near 32°C, and AccuWeather's broader model runs up to 33.6°C. ENSO-neutral conditions support typical transitional-season warmth, but daily BMKG updates through April 17 could refine cloud persistence and steering winds.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Jakarta on April 18?
Highest temperature in Jakarta on April 18?
33°C 27%
32°C 23%
31°C 19%
34°C 11%
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
2%
29°C
2%
30°C
9%
31°C
19%
32°C
23%
33°C
27%
34°C
11%
35°C
7%
36°C
2%
37°C or higher
1%
33°C 27%
32°C 23%
31°C 19%
34°C 11%
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
2%
29°C
2%
30°C
9%
31°C
19%
32°C
23%
33°C
27%
34°C
11%
35°C
7%
36°C
2%
37°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: Apr 16, 2026, 1:32 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward a 32°C high in Jakarta on April 18 at 34.5% implied probability, edging out 33°C at 27.5%, reflecting uncertainty in BMKG's latest forecasts showing cloudy conditions (berawan) across DKI Jakarta with daytime ranges of 24–30°C amid 73–95% humidity. These projections stem from persistent cloud cover and light rain risks suppressing peak solar heating, particularly in central areas (25–28°C), though southern and eastern districts could touch 30°C. Differentiating factors include Jakarta's urban heat island effect potentially pushing observed maxima higher at official stations like Halim Perdanakusuma, historical April averages near 32°C, and AccuWeather's broader model runs up to 33.6°C. ENSO-neutral conditions support typical transitional-season warmth, but daily BMKG updates through April 17 could refine cloud persistence and steering winds.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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