Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a 17°C high in London today at 63% implied probability, driven by BBC Weather's forecast of 17°C amid drizzle and gentle south-westerly breezes, contrasting the Met Office's more conservative 16°C cap under cloudy conditions with blustery afternoon showers peaking at 80% precipitation risk around 3pm. Yesterday's 17.9°C maximum at nearby Heathrow underscores recent warmth above the April climatological average of 14°C, bolstered by lingering mild air from an early-month high-pressure ridge that delivered 26°C peaks. Current morning observations show cloudy skies and 12°C feels-like temperatures post-sunrise at 6:03am, with hourly models projecting peaks from 1-6pm before evening cooldown. Uncertainty persists in shower timing and cloud cover, with London City Airport station readings dictating final resolution; traders anticipate sunnier breaks enabling slight model overperformance.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트4월 16일 런던에서 가장 높은 기온?
4월 16일 런던에서 가장 높은 기온?
18°C 52%
17°C 45%
19°C 5.9%
20°C <1%
$135,138 거래량
$135,138 거래량
2026.04.16
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
45%
18°C
52%
19°C
6%
20°C
1%
21°C
<1%
22°C 이상
<1%
18°C 52%
17°C 45%
19°C 5.9%
20°C <1%
$135,138 거래량
$135,138 거래량
2026.04.16
15°C
$27,072 거래량
<1%
16°C
$24,634 거래량
<1%
17°C
$18,789 거래량
45%
18°C
$15,142 거래량
52%
19°C
$12,696 거래량
6%
20°C
$8,583 거래량
1%
21°C
$6,421 거래량
<1%
22°C 이상
$4,137 거래량
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a 17°C high in London today at 63% implied probability, driven by BBC Weather's forecast of 17°C amid drizzle and gentle south-westerly breezes, contrasting the Met Office's more conservative 16°C cap under cloudy conditions with blustery afternoon showers peaking at 80% precipitation risk around 3pm. Yesterday's 17.9°C maximum at nearby Heathrow underscores recent warmth above the April climatological average of 14°C, bolstered by lingering mild air from an early-month high-pressure ridge that delivered 26°C peaks. Current morning observations show cloudy skies and 12°C feels-like temperatures post-sunrise at 6:03am, with hourly models projecting peaks from 1-6pm before evening cooldown. Uncertainty persists in shower timing and cloud cover, with London City Airport station readings dictating final resolution; traders anticipate sunnier breaks enabling slight model overperformance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: Apr 14, 2026, 6:05 PM ET
거래량
$135,138종료일
2026.04.16마켓 개설일
Apr 14, 2026, 6:05 PM ET결과 제안됨: 아니오
이의 제기 기간
최종
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a 17°C high in London today at 63% implied probability, driven by BBC Weather's forecast of 17°C amid drizzle and gentle south-westerly breezes, contrasting the Met Office's more conservative 16°C cap under cloudy conditions with blustery afternoon showers peaking at 80% precipitation risk around 3pm. Yesterday's 17.9°C maximum at nearby Heathrow underscores recent warmth above the April climatological average of 14°C, bolstered by lingering mild air from an early-month high-pressure ridge that delivered 26°C peaks. Current morning observations show cloudy skies and 12°C feels-like temperatures post-sunrise at 6:03am, with hourly models projecting peaks from 1-6pm before evening cooldown. Uncertainty persists in shower timing and cloud cover, with London City Airport station readings dictating final resolution; traders anticipate sunnier breaks enabling slight model overperformance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$135,138종료일
2026.04.16마켓 개설일
Apr 14, 2026, 6:05 PM ET결과 제안됨: 아니오
이의 제기 기간
최종
Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a 17°C high in London today at 63% implied probability, driven by BBC Weather's forecast of 17°C amid drizzle and gentle south-westerly breezes, contrasting the Met Office's more conservative 16°C cap under cloudy conditions with blustery afternoon showers peaking at 80% precipitation risk around 3pm. Yesterday's 17.9°C maximum at nearby Heathrow underscores recent warmth above the April climatological average of 14°C, bolstered by lingering mild air from an early-month high-pressure ridge that delivered 26°C peaks. Current morning observations show cloudy skies and 12°C feels-like temperatures post-sunrise at 6:03am, with hourly models projecting peaks from 1-6pm before evening cooldown. Uncertainty persists in shower timing and cloud cover, with London City Airport station readings dictating final resolution; traders anticipate sunnier breaks enabling slight model overperformance.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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