Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 18°C as the highest temperature at Wellington International Airport station on April 16, 2026, with 100% implied probability, driven by real-time observational data from MetService and NIWA confirming a midday peak of 18°C amid strong northwesterlies gusting over 70 km/h. Early morning rain cleared to fine conditions, but persistent winds from a passing front suppressed further warming, aligning with forecast model consensus capping highs at 17–18°C—typical for Wellington's autumn climatology where average April maxima hover around 16°C. This positioning reflects skin-in-the-game certainty from hourly airport readings, though a rare late-afternoon clear-sky lull could theoretically push toward 19°C if winds ease unexpectedly, a low-probability scenario given current synoptic patterns. Updated MetService bulletins expected later today may finalize resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트4월 16일 웰링턴에서 가장 높은 온도는?
4월 16일 웰링턴에서 가장 높은 온도는?
18°C 100.0%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
21°C 이상 <1%
$230,123 거래량
$230,123 거래량
2026.04.16
18°C
100%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C 이상
<1%
18°C 100.0%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
21°C 이상 <1%
$230,123 거래량
$230,123 거래량
2026.04.16
18°C
$46,608 거래량
100%
19°C
$26,345 거래량
<1%
20°C
$30,195 거래량
<1%
21°C 이상
$12,155 거래량
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 18°C as the highest temperature at Wellington International Airport station on April 16, 2026, with 100% implied probability, driven by real-time observational data from MetService and NIWA confirming a midday peak of 18°C amid strong northwesterlies gusting over 70 km/h. Early morning rain cleared to fine conditions, but persistent winds from a passing front suppressed further warming, aligning with forecast model consensus capping highs at 17–18°C—typical for Wellington's autumn climatology where average April maxima hover around 16°C. This positioning reflects skin-in-the-game certainty from hourly airport readings, though a rare late-afternoon clear-sky lull could theoretically push toward 19°C if winds ease unexpectedly, a low-probability scenario given current synoptic patterns. Updated MetService bulletins expected later today may finalize resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: Apr 14, 2026, 6:05 PM ET
거래량
$230,123종료일
2026.04.16마켓 개설일
Apr 14, 2026, 6:05 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 18°C as the highest temperature at Wellington International Airport station on April 16, 2026, with 100% implied probability, driven by real-time observational data from MetService and NIWA confirming a midday peak of 18°C amid strong northwesterlies gusting over 70 km/h. Early morning rain cleared to fine conditions, but persistent winds from a passing front suppressed further warming, aligning with forecast model consensus capping highs at 17–18°C—typical for Wellington's autumn climatology where average April maxima hover around 16°C. This positioning reflects skin-in-the-game certainty from hourly airport readings, though a rare late-afternoon clear-sky lull could theoretically push toward 19°C if winds ease unexpectedly, a low-probability scenario given current synoptic patterns. Updated MetService bulletins expected later today may finalize resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$230,123종료일
2026.04.16마켓 개설일
Apr 14, 2026, 6:05 PM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 18°C as the highest temperature at Wellington International Airport station on April 16, 2026, with 100% implied probability, driven by real-time observational data from MetService and NIWA confirming a midday peak of 18°C amid strong northwesterlies gusting over 70 km/h. Early morning rain cleared to fine conditions, but persistent winds from a passing front suppressed further warming, aligning with forecast model consensus capping highs at 17–18°C—typical for Wellington's autumn climatology where average April maxima hover around 16°C. This positioning reflects skin-in-the-game certainty from hourly airport readings, though a rare late-afternoon clear-sky lull could theoretically push toward 19°C if winds ease unexpectedly, a low-probability scenario given current synoptic patterns. Updated MetService bulletins expected later today may finalize resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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