Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a 72% probability of 72°F or higher as the highest temperature in Los Angeles on April 18, reflecting the latest National Weather Service Los Angeles/Oxnard forecast discussion from April 15, which anticipates 3-5°F warming along coastal areas due to downsloping winds off the mountains amid a building high-pressure ridge and reduced cool air advection. After cooler mid-week highs near 59°F on April 13 and rebounding to 68-69°F on April 14, model ensembles from GFS and ECMWF show consensus for mid-70s under lighter onshore flow and quicker marine layer burn-off. Uncertainty persists from potential persistent coastal stratus, with daily NWS updates and 18z model runs expected to refine land-based temperature trajectories at stations like KLAX or USC. Historical April averages hover around 70°F, contextualizing the favorable odds for above-normal warmth.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Los Angeles on April 18?
Highest temperature in Los Angeles on April 18?
72°F or higher 72%
68-69°F 18%
70-71°F 18%
64-65°F 9%
신규
신규
2026.04.18
53°F or below
1%
54-55°F
1%
56-57°F
1%
58-59°F
1%
60-61°F
7%
62-63°F
8%
64-65°F
9%
66-67°F
9%
68-69°F
18%
70-71°F
18%
72°F or higher
72%
72°F or higher 72%
68-69°F 18%
70-71°F 18%
64-65°F 9%
신규
신규
2026.04.18
53°F or below
$111 거래량
1%
54-55°F
$70 거래량
1%
56-57°F
$70 거래량
1%
58-59°F
$70 거래량
1%
60-61°F
$0 거래량
7%
62-63°F
$0 거래량
8%
64-65°F
$0 거래량
9%
66-67°F
$0 거래량
9%
68-69°F
$0 거래량
18%
70-71°F
$0 거래량
18%
72°F or higher
$5 거래량
72%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a 72% probability of 72°F or higher as the highest temperature in Los Angeles on April 18, reflecting the latest National Weather Service Los Angeles/Oxnard forecast discussion from April 15, which anticipates 3-5°F warming along coastal areas due to downsloping winds off the mountains amid a building high-pressure ridge and reduced cool air advection. After cooler mid-week highs near 59°F on April 13 and rebounding to 68-69°F on April 14, model ensembles from GFS and ECMWF show consensus for mid-70s under lighter onshore flow and quicker marine layer burn-off. Uncertainty persists from potential persistent coastal stratus, with daily NWS updates and 18z model runs expected to refine land-based temperature trajectories at stations like KLAX or USC. Historical April averages hover around 70°F, contextualizing the favorable odds for above-normal warmth.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: Apr 16, 2026, 1:32 AM ET
거래량
$316종료일
2026.04.18마켓 개설일
Apr 16, 2026, 1:32 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a 72% probability of 72°F or higher as the highest temperature in Los Angeles on April 18, reflecting the latest National Weather Service Los Angeles/Oxnard forecast discussion from April 15, which anticipates 3-5°F warming along coastal areas due to downsloping winds off the mountains amid a building high-pressure ridge and reduced cool air advection. After cooler mid-week highs near 59°F on April 13 and rebounding to 68-69°F on April 14, model ensembles from GFS and ECMWF show consensus for mid-70s under lighter onshore flow and quicker marine layer burn-off. Uncertainty persists from potential persistent coastal stratus, with daily NWS updates and 18z model runs expected to refine land-based temperature trajectories at stations like KLAX or USC. Historical April averages hover around 70°F, contextualizing the favorable odds for above-normal warmth.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$316종료일
2026.04.18마켓 개설일
Apr 16, 2026, 1:32 AM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket implies a 72% probability of 72°F or higher as the highest temperature in Los Angeles on April 18, reflecting the latest National Weather Service Los Angeles/Oxnard forecast discussion from April 15, which anticipates 3-5°F warming along coastal areas due to downsloping winds off the mountains amid a building high-pressure ridge and reduced cool air advection. After cooler mid-week highs near 59°F on April 13 and rebounding to 68-69°F on April 14, model ensembles from GFS and ECMWF show consensus for mid-70s under lighter onshore flow and quicker marine layer burn-off. Uncertainty persists from potential persistent coastal stratus, with daily NWS updates and 18z model runs expected to refine land-based temperature trajectories at stations like KLAX or USC. Historical April averages hover around 70°F, contextualizing the favorable odds for above-normal warmth.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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