MetService's latest forecast, issued April 16, projects Wellington's April 18 high at 17°C amid showers turning to afternoon rain and gale-force northerlies, yet traders price 18°C (35%) and 19°C (30%) highest, reflecting model uncertainty in northerly warm air advection versus cloud-induced cooling. Strong northwest winds—potentially severe gales per the outlook—could enhance mixing and mild temperatures above the mid-April climatological average of 16°C, but 95% rainfall probability risks capping peaks through reduced insolation. Recent remnants of ex-tropical Cyclone Vaianu delivered earlier storms, heightening volatility; watch tomorrow's forecast update for refined guidance on front timing and precipitation intensity.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Wellington on April 18?
Highest temperature in Wellington on April 18?
18°C 36%
19°C 29%
17°C 21%
16°C 13%
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
3%
16°C
13%
17°C
21%
18°C
36%
19°C
29%
20°C
3%
21°C or higher
2%
18°C 36%
19°C 29%
17°C 21%
16°C 13%
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
3%
16°C
13%
17°C
21%
18°C
36%
19°C
29%
20°C
3%
21°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: Apr 16, 2026, 1:16 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
MetService's latest forecast, issued April 16, projects Wellington's April 18 high at 17°C amid showers turning to afternoon rain and gale-force northerlies, yet traders price 18°C (35%) and 19°C (30%) highest, reflecting model uncertainty in northerly warm air advection versus cloud-induced cooling. Strong northwest winds—potentially severe gales per the outlook—could enhance mixing and mild temperatures above the mid-April climatological average of 16°C, but 95% rainfall probability risks capping peaks through reduced insolation. Recent remnants of ex-tropical Cyclone Vaianu delivered earlier storms, heightening volatility; watch tomorrow's forecast update for refined guidance on front timing and precipitation intensity.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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