Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns 100% implied probability to a high temperature of 72-73°F in Chicago on April 15, 2026, directly reflecting the official measurement of 73°F at Chicago O'Hare International Airport (KORD), the National Weather Service-designated climate station. This peak, recorded at 2:58 p.m. CDT amid record-breaking 2.43 inches of rainfall from thunderstorms, surpassed the previous April 15 record of 72°F set in 1955, well above the climatological normal of 59°F. Supporting evidence includes verified METAR observations and NWS post-event summaries confirming no higher readings. Realistic challenges—such as rare data revisions from instrument audits or quality control discrepancies—remain improbable given the robust monitoring protocols.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트4월 15일에 시카고에서 가장 높은 기온을 기록하셨나요?
4월 15일에 시카고에서 가장 높은 기온을 기록하셨나요?
72-73°F 100.0%
55°F 이하 <1%
56-57°F <1%
58-59°F <1%
$226,686 거래량
$226,686 거래량
2026.04.15
55°F 이하
아니오
56-57°F
아니오
58-59°F
아니오
60-61°F
아니오
62-63°F
아니오
64-65°F
아니오
66-67°F
아니오
68-69°F
아니오
70-71°F
아니오
72-73°F
예
74°F 또는 그 이상
아니오
72-73°F 100.0%
55°F 이하 <1%
56-57°F <1%
58-59°F <1%
$226,686 거래량
$226,686 거래량
2026.04.15
55°F 이하
$15,727 거래량
아니오
56-57°F
$1,767 거래량
아니오
58-59°F
$12,928 거래량
아니오
60-61°F
$1,015 거래량
아니오
62-63°F
$4,037 거래량
아니오
64-65°F
$10,894 거래량
아니오
66-67°F
$62,183 거래량
아니오
68-69°F
$38,168 거래량
아니오
70-71°F
$39,047 거래량
아니오
72-73°F
$16,311 거래량
예
74°F 또는 그 이상
$24,608 거래량
아니오
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns 100% implied probability to a high temperature of 72-73°F in Chicago on April 15, 2026, directly reflecting the official measurement of 73°F at Chicago O'Hare International Airport (KORD), the National Weather Service-designated climate station. This peak, recorded at 2:58 p.m. CDT amid record-breaking 2.43 inches of rainfall from thunderstorms, surpassed the previous April 15 record of 72°F set in 1955, well above the climatological normal of 59°F. Supporting evidence includes verified METAR observations and NWS post-event summaries confirming no higher readings. Realistic challenges—such as rare data revisions from instrument audits or quality control discrepancies—remain improbable given the robust monitoring protocols.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: Apr 13, 2026, 12:26 AM ET
거래량
$226,686종료일
2026.04.15마켓 개설일
Apr 13, 2026, 12:26 AM ET결과 제안됨: 아니오
이의 없음
최종 결과: 아니오
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns 100% implied probability to a high temperature of 72-73°F in Chicago on April 15, 2026, directly reflecting the official measurement of 73°F at Chicago O'Hare International Airport (KORD), the National Weather Service-designated climate station. This peak, recorded at 2:58 p.m. CDT amid record-breaking 2.43 inches of rainfall from thunderstorms, surpassed the previous April 15 record of 72°F set in 1955, well above the climatological normal of 59°F. Supporting evidence includes verified METAR observations and NWS post-event summaries confirming no higher readings. Realistic challenges—such as rare data revisions from instrument audits or quality control discrepancies—remain improbable given the robust monitoring protocols.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$226,686종료일
2026.04.15마켓 개설일
Apr 13, 2026, 12:26 AM ET결과 제안됨: 아니오
이의 없음
최종 결과: 아니오
Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns 100% implied probability to a high temperature of 72-73°F in Chicago on April 15, 2026, directly reflecting the official measurement of 73°F at Chicago O'Hare International Airport (KORD), the National Weather Service-designated climate station. This peak, recorded at 2:58 p.m. CDT amid record-breaking 2.43 inches of rainfall from thunderstorms, surpassed the previous April 15 record of 72°F set in 1955, well above the climatological normal of 59°F. Supporting evidence includes verified METAR observations and NWS post-event summaries confirming no higher readings. Realistic challenges—such as rare data revisions from instrument audits or quality control discrepancies—remain improbable given the robust monitoring protocols.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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