Trader consensus favors a high of 66-67°F at 27% implied probability for Chicago on April 18, driven by the latest National Weather Service forecasts and GFS/ECMWF model ensembles projecting mild conditions with southwest winds around 10-15 mph and partial cloud cover limiting insolation. Recent developments include a warm early-April spell with highs in the 70s around April 12, transitioning to unsettled weather with showers through April 16 amid a trough aloft, keeping temperatures near seasonal normals of 60°F. High uncertainty stems from model divergences on shower timing and coverage—persistent clouds could drop highs to 60-65°F (24% combined), while more sun boosts 70°F+ chances (16%); new data releases from NOAA updates on April 17 will refine steering patterns and precipitation odds before resolution at O'Hare International Airport.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Chicago on April 18?
Highest temperature in Chicago on April 18?
66-67°F 22%
64-65°F 15%
68-69°F 12%
60-61°F 10%
신규
신규
2026.04.18
53°F or below
<1%
54-55°F
5%
56-57°F
4%
58-59°F
6%
60-61°F
10%
62-63°F
9%
64-65°F
15%
66-67°F
22%
68-69°F
12%
70-71°F
3%
72°F or higher
8%
66-67°F 22%
64-65°F 15%
68-69°F 12%
60-61°F 10%
신규
신규
2026.04.18
53°F or below
$2,146 거래량
<1%
54-55°F
$548 거래량
5%
56-57°F
$450 거래량
4%
58-59°F
$414 거래량
6%
60-61°F
$126 거래량
10%
62-63°F
$546 거래량
9%
64-65°F
$160 거래량
15%
66-67°F
$182 거래량
22%
68-69°F
$224 거래량
12%
70-71°F
$783 거래량
3%
72°F or higher
$1,469 거래량
8%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus favors a high of 66-67°F at 27% implied probability for Chicago on April 18, driven by the latest National Weather Service forecasts and GFS/ECMWF model ensembles projecting mild conditions with southwest winds around 10-15 mph and partial cloud cover limiting insolation. Recent developments include a warm early-April spell with highs in the 70s around April 12, transitioning to unsettled weather with showers through April 16 amid a trough aloft, keeping temperatures near seasonal normals of 60°F. High uncertainty stems from model divergences on shower timing and coverage—persistent clouds could drop highs to 60-65°F (24% combined), while more sun boosts 70°F+ chances (16%); new data releases from NOAA updates on April 17 will refine steering patterns and precipitation odds before resolution at O'Hare International Airport.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: Apr 16, 2026, 12:41 AM ET
거래량
$6,879종료일
2026.04.18마켓 개설일
Apr 16, 2026, 12:41 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus favors a high of 66-67°F at 27% implied probability for Chicago on April 18, driven by the latest National Weather Service forecasts and GFS/ECMWF model ensembles projecting mild conditions with southwest winds around 10-15 mph and partial cloud cover limiting insolation. Recent developments include a warm early-April spell with highs in the 70s around April 12, transitioning to unsettled weather with showers through April 16 amid a trough aloft, keeping temperatures near seasonal normals of 60°F. High uncertainty stems from model divergences on shower timing and coverage—persistent clouds could drop highs to 60-65°F (24% combined), while more sun boosts 70°F+ chances (16%); new data releases from NOAA updates on April 17 will refine steering patterns and precipitation odds before resolution at O'Hare International Airport.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$6,879종료일
2026.04.18마켓 개설일
Apr 16, 2026, 12:41 AM ETTrader consensus favors a high of 66-67°F at 27% implied probability for Chicago on April 18, driven by the latest National Weather Service forecasts and GFS/ECMWF model ensembles projecting mild conditions with southwest winds around 10-15 mph and partial cloud cover limiting insolation. Recent developments include a warm early-April spell with highs in the 70s around April 12, transitioning to unsettled weather with showers through April 16 amid a trough aloft, keeping temperatures near seasonal normals of 60°F. High uncertainty stems from model divergences on shower timing and coverage—persistent clouds could drop highs to 60-65°F (24% combined), while more sun boosts 70°F+ chances (16%); new data releases from NOAA updates on April 17 will refine steering patterns and precipitation odds before resolution at O'Hare International Airport.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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