Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a 50% chance of 21°C or higher in London on April 18, driven by lingering optimism from the recent early April heatwave that peaked at 26.6°C in Kew Gardens—the UK's warmest early April day in 80 years—amid persistent high pressure patterns boosting spring temperatures above climatological norms of around 14°C. However, the latest Met Office forecast, updated April 15 evening, projects a maximum of 16-18°C under sunny intervals with light morning showers and southwest winds gusting to 20mph, while BBC Weather aligns at 17°C high, reflecting a post-heatwave cooldown with frontal systems introducing cloud and precipitation risks. Model ensembles show uncertainty 48 hours out, with potential upside if high pressure rebuilds; watch for evening updates from the Met Office on April 16-17 for refined guidance on peak afternoon heating.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in London on April 18?
Highest temperature in London on April 18?
16°C 29%
17°C 27%
18°C 19%
15°C 14%
신규
신규
2026.04.18
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
1%
13°C
3%
14°C
11%
15°C
14%
16°C
29%
17°C
27%
18°C
19%
19°C
11%
20°C
5%
21°C or higher
2%
16°C 29%
17°C 27%
18°C 19%
15°C 14%
신규
신규
2026.04.18
11°C or below
$253 거래량
<1%
12°C
$263 거래량
1%
13°C
$153 거래량
3%
14°C
$209 거래량
11%
15°C
$121 거래량
14%
16°C
$89 거래량
29%
17°C
$109 거래량
27%
18°C
$50 거래량
19%
19°C
$23 거래량
11%
20°C
$196 거래량
5%
21°C or higher
$199 거래량
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a 50% chance of 21°C or higher in London on April 18, driven by lingering optimism from the recent early April heatwave that peaked at 26.6°C in Kew Gardens—the UK's warmest early April day in 80 years—amid persistent high pressure patterns boosting spring temperatures above climatological norms of around 14°C. However, the latest Met Office forecast, updated April 15 evening, projects a maximum of 16-18°C under sunny intervals with light morning showers and southwest winds gusting to 20mph, while BBC Weather aligns at 17°C high, reflecting a post-heatwave cooldown with frontal systems introducing cloud and precipitation risks. Model ensembles show uncertainty 48 hours out, with potential upside if high pressure rebuilds; watch for evening updates from the Met Office on April 16-17 for refined guidance on peak afternoon heating.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: Apr 16, 2026, 12:25 AM ET
거래량
$1,647종료일
2026.04.18마켓 개설일
Apr 16, 2026, 12:25 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a 50% chance of 21°C or higher in London on April 18, driven by lingering optimism from the recent early April heatwave that peaked at 26.6°C in Kew Gardens—the UK's warmest early April day in 80 years—amid persistent high pressure patterns boosting spring temperatures above climatological norms of around 14°C. However, the latest Met Office forecast, updated April 15 evening, projects a maximum of 16-18°C under sunny intervals with light morning showers and southwest winds gusting to 20mph, while BBC Weather aligns at 17°C high, reflecting a post-heatwave cooldown with frontal systems introducing cloud and precipitation risks. Model ensembles show uncertainty 48 hours out, with potential upside if high pressure rebuilds; watch for evening updates from the Met Office on April 16-17 for refined guidance on peak afternoon heating.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$1,647종료일
2026.04.18마켓 개설일
Apr 16, 2026, 12:25 AM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket implies a 50% chance of 21°C or higher in London on April 18, driven by lingering optimism from the recent early April heatwave that peaked at 26.6°C in Kew Gardens—the UK's warmest early April day in 80 years—amid persistent high pressure patterns boosting spring temperatures above climatological norms of around 14°C. However, the latest Met Office forecast, updated April 15 evening, projects a maximum of 16-18°C under sunny intervals with light morning showers and southwest winds gusting to 20mph, while BBC Weather aligns at 17°C high, reflecting a post-heatwave cooldown with frontal systems introducing cloud and precipitation risks. Model ensembles show uncertainty 48 hours out, with potential upside if high pressure rebuilds; watch for evening updates from the Met Office on April 16-17 for refined guidance on peak afternoon heating.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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