Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in short-range forecasts for São Paulo's highest temperature on April 18, with models like ECMWF and GFS ensembles clustering around 29–30°C but showing significant spread due to variable cloud cover and sea breeze influences. INMET's latest weekly outlook for April 13–20 notes isolated coastal showers, which could enhance onshore flows cooling the city via increased humidity and afternoon convection, while persistent high pressure might allow urban heat island effects to push highs toward 34°C or more. Historical April averages hover near 25°C, but this month's slight positive temperature anomaly (+1.5°C monthly mean) tilts odds warmer; daily INMET updates and model refreshes expected within 48 hours will clarify steering patterns and convective potential differentiating outcomes.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on April 18?
Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on April 18?
30°C 26%
29°C 21%
31°C 16%
28°C 12%
신규
신규
2026.04.18
24°C or below
2%
25°C
6%
26°C
10%
27°C
9%
28°C
12%
29°C
21%
30°C
26%
31°C
16%
32°C
11%
33°C
4%
34°C or higher
3%
30°C 26%
29°C 21%
31°C 16%
28°C 12%
신규
신규
2026.04.18
24°C or below
$225 거래량
2%
25°C
$3 거래량
6%
26°C
$3 거래량
10%
27°C
$12 거래량
9%
28°C
$3 거래량
12%
29°C
$13 거래량
21%
30°C
$37 거래량
26%
31°C
$36 거래량
16%
32°C
$16 거래량
11%
33°C
$19 거래량
4%
34°C or higher
$10 거래량
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in short-range forecasts for São Paulo's highest temperature on April 18, with models like ECMWF and GFS ensembles clustering around 29–30°C but showing significant spread due to variable cloud cover and sea breeze influences. INMET's latest weekly outlook for April 13–20 notes isolated coastal showers, which could enhance onshore flows cooling the city via increased humidity and afternoon convection, while persistent high pressure might allow urban heat island effects to push highs toward 34°C or more. Historical April averages hover near 25°C, but this month's slight positive temperature anomaly (+1.5°C monthly mean) tilts odds warmer; daily INMET updates and model refreshes expected within 48 hours will clarify steering patterns and convective potential differentiating outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: Apr 16, 2026, 12:26 AM ET
거래량
$347종료일
2026.04.18마켓 개설일
Apr 16, 2026, 12:26 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in short-range forecasts for São Paulo's highest temperature on April 18, with models like ECMWF and GFS ensembles clustering around 29–30°C but showing significant spread due to variable cloud cover and sea breeze influences. INMET's latest weekly outlook for April 13–20 notes isolated coastal showers, which could enhance onshore flows cooling the city via increased humidity and afternoon convection, while persistent high pressure might allow urban heat island effects to push highs toward 34°C or more. Historical April averages hover near 25°C, but this month's slight positive temperature anomaly (+1.5°C monthly mean) tilts odds warmer; daily INMET updates and model refreshes expected within 48 hours will clarify steering patterns and convective potential differentiating outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$347종료일
2026.04.18마켓 개설일
Apr 16, 2026, 12:26 AM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in short-range forecasts for São Paulo's highest temperature on April 18, with models like ECMWF and GFS ensembles clustering around 29–30°C but showing significant spread due to variable cloud cover and sea breeze influences. INMET's latest weekly outlook for April 13–20 notes isolated coastal showers, which could enhance onshore flows cooling the city via increased humidity and afternoon convection, while persistent high pressure might allow urban heat island effects to push highs toward 34°C or more. Historical April averages hover near 25°C, but this month's slight positive temperature anomaly (+1.5°C monthly mean) tilts odds warmer; daily INMET updates and model refreshes expected within 48 hours will clarify steering patterns and convective potential differentiating outcomes.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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