Trader consensus on Polymarket closely mirrors the National Weather Service forecast for Seattle's April 17 high near 56°F under mostly cloudy skies with a 40-50% chance of showers, driven by an upper-level trough ushering cooler maritime air into the Pacific Northwest. This setup follows a recent warm spell topping 70°F earlier in the week, now yielding mid-50s outcomes as the market-implied probabilities cluster around 54-59°F. Differentiating factors include persistent low-level stratus from Puget Sound convergence zone potentially capping peaks at 54-55°F, versus brief sunbreaks or reduced cloud cover allowing 58-59°F; forecast models like GFS and ECMWF show ensemble spread of 2-3°F. Watch 12z model runs and evening NWS updates for refinements ahead of resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Seattle on April 17?
Highest temperature in Seattle on April 17?
56-57°F 35%
58-59°F 29%
54-55°F 27%
52-53°F 7%
신규
$12,286 거래량
신규
$12,286 거래량
2026.04.17
51°F or below
6%
52-53°F
7%
54-55°F
27%
56-57°F
35%
58-59°F
29%
60-61°F
3%
62-63°F
1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70°F or higher
<1%
56-57°F 35%
58-59°F 29%
54-55°F 27%
52-53°F 7%
신규
$12,286 거래량
신규
$12,286 거래량
2026.04.17
51°F or below
$2,120 거래량
6%
52-53°F
$880 거래량
7%
54-55°F
$1,146 거래량
27%
56-57°F
$948 거래량
35%
58-59°F
$1,035 거래량
29%
60-61°F
$1,306 거래량
3%
62-63°F
$1,074 거래량
1%
64-65°F
$802 거래량
<1%
66-67°F
$1,032 거래량
<1%
68-69°F
$898 거래량
<1%
70°F or higher
$1,068 거래량
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket closely mirrors the National Weather Service forecast for Seattle's April 17 high near 56°F under mostly cloudy skies with a 40-50% chance of showers, driven by an upper-level trough ushering cooler maritime air into the Pacific Northwest. This setup follows a recent warm spell topping 70°F earlier in the week, now yielding mid-50s outcomes as the market-implied probabilities cluster around 54-59°F. Differentiating factors include persistent low-level stratus from Puget Sound convergence zone potentially capping peaks at 54-55°F, versus brief sunbreaks or reduced cloud cover allowing 58-59°F; forecast models like GFS and ECMWF show ensemble spread of 2-3°F. Watch 12z model runs and evening NWS updates for refinements ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: Apr 15, 2026, 6:05 AM ET
거래량
$12,286종료일
2026.04.17마켓 개설일
Apr 15, 2026, 6:05 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket closely mirrors the National Weather Service forecast for Seattle's April 17 high near 56°F under mostly cloudy skies with a 40-50% chance of showers, driven by an upper-level trough ushering cooler maritime air into the Pacific Northwest. This setup follows a recent warm spell topping 70°F earlier in the week, now yielding mid-50s outcomes as the market-implied probabilities cluster around 54-59°F. Differentiating factors include persistent low-level stratus from Puget Sound convergence zone potentially capping peaks at 54-55°F, versus brief sunbreaks or reduced cloud cover allowing 58-59°F; forecast models like GFS and ECMWF show ensemble spread of 2-3°F. Watch 12z model runs and evening NWS updates for refinements ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$12,286종료일
2026.04.17마켓 개설일
Apr 15, 2026, 6:05 AM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket closely mirrors the National Weather Service forecast for Seattle's April 17 high near 56°F under mostly cloudy skies with a 40-50% chance of showers, driven by an upper-level trough ushering cooler maritime air into the Pacific Northwest. This setup follows a recent warm spell topping 70°F earlier in the week, now yielding mid-50s outcomes as the market-implied probabilities cluster around 54-59°F. Differentiating factors include persistent low-level stratus from Puget Sound convergence zone potentially capping peaks at 54-55°F, versus brief sunbreaks or reduced cloud cover allowing 58-59°F; forecast models like GFS and ECMWF show ensemble spread of 2-3°F. Watch 12z model runs and evening NWS updates for refinements ahead of resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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