Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight forecast uncertainty for São Paulo's highest temperature on April 17, with models like those from AccuWeather (29°C, periods of clouds and sun), Climatempo (31°C, mostly sunny turning cloudy afternoon), and BBC Weather (30°C, sunny intervals) clustering around 28–31°C amid a high-pressure ridge promoting warm, dry conditions with light winds (4–14 km/h ESE to WNW). Differentiating factors include variable afternoon cloud development from sea breeze incursions, urban heat island amplification in the city center, and minor model divergences on boundary layer mixing, all keeping implied probabilities closely matched below 30% for leaders. Official INMET observations will resolve the market, with low precipitation risk (0%) supporting above-seasonal highs near 25–27°C climatology.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on April 17?
Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on April 17?
29°C 27%
30°C 24%
28°C 22%
31°C 12%
신규
신규
2026.04.17
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
4%
27°C
10%
28°C
22%
29°C
27%
30°C
24%
31°C
12%
32°C
5%
33°C
2%
34°C or higher
1%
29°C 27%
30°C 24%
28°C 22%
31°C 12%
신규
신규
2026.04.17
24°C or below
$1,564 거래량
<1%
25°C
$1,431 거래량
1%
26°C
$994 거래량
4%
27°C
$631 거래량
10%
28°C
$646 거래량
22%
29°C
$616 거래량
27%
30°C
$525 거래량
24%
31°C
$1,028 거래량
12%
32°C
$302 거래량
5%
33°C
$339 거래량
2%
34°C or higher
$783 거래량
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight forecast uncertainty for São Paulo's highest temperature on April 17, with models like those from AccuWeather (29°C, periods of clouds and sun), Climatempo (31°C, mostly sunny turning cloudy afternoon), and BBC Weather (30°C, sunny intervals) clustering around 28–31°C amid a high-pressure ridge promoting warm, dry conditions with light winds (4–14 km/h ESE to WNW). Differentiating factors include variable afternoon cloud development from sea breeze incursions, urban heat island amplification in the city center, and minor model divergences on boundary layer mixing, all keeping implied probabilities closely matched below 30% for leaders. Official INMET observations will resolve the market, with low precipitation risk (0%) supporting above-seasonal highs near 25–27°C climatology.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: Apr 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
거래량
$8,855종료일
2026.04.17마켓 개설일
Apr 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight forecast uncertainty for São Paulo's highest temperature on April 17, with models like those from AccuWeather (29°C, periods of clouds and sun), Climatempo (31°C, mostly sunny turning cloudy afternoon), and BBC Weather (30°C, sunny intervals) clustering around 28–31°C amid a high-pressure ridge promoting warm, dry conditions with light winds (4–14 km/h ESE to WNW). Differentiating factors include variable afternoon cloud development from sea breeze incursions, urban heat island amplification in the city center, and minor model divergences on boundary layer mixing, all keeping implied probabilities closely matched below 30% for leaders. Official INMET observations will resolve the market, with low precipitation risk (0%) supporting above-seasonal highs near 25–27°C climatology.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$8,855종료일
2026.04.17마켓 개설일
Apr 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight forecast uncertainty for São Paulo's highest temperature on April 17, with models like those from AccuWeather (29°C, periods of clouds and sun), Climatempo (31°C, mostly sunny turning cloudy afternoon), and BBC Weather (30°C, sunny intervals) clustering around 28–31°C amid a high-pressure ridge promoting warm, dry conditions with light winds (4–14 km/h ESE to WNW). Differentiating factors include variable afternoon cloud development from sea breeze incursions, urban heat island amplification in the city center, and minor model divergences on boundary layer mixing, all keeping implied probabilities closely matched below 30% for leaders. Official INMET observations will resolve the market, with low precipitation risk (0%) supporting above-seasonal highs near 25–27°C climatology.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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