Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects National Weather Service guidance showing a cold front sweeping into Central Texas on April 18, poised to cap Austin's high temperature in the low-to-mid 70s°F after midweek highs reached the upper 80s to low 90s°F amid lingering humidity and isolated storms. The closely bunched probabilities for 72-79°F bins stem from model spread in the Global Forecast System and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts, where frontal timing remains uncertain—earlier arrival boosts cloud cover and shower chances, favoring 72-75°F outcomes, while delays permit partial clearing and peaks near 78-79°F. Southerly winds ahead of the front and neutral ENSO conditions provide baseline warmth near April climatological norms of 79°F, with fresh NOAA updates expected April 17 to refine guidance ahead of resolution at official stations like Camp Mabry.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Austin on April 18?
Highest temperature in Austin on April 18?
78-79°F 21%
74-75°F 21%
72-73°F 21%
76-77°F 17%
신규
신규
2026.04.18
69°F or below
4%
70-71°F
7%
72-73°F
21%
74-75°F
18%
76-77°F
17%
78-79°F
21%
80-81°F
10%
82-83°F
9%
84-85°F
3%
86-87°F
<1%
88°F or higher
<1%
78-79°F 21%
74-75°F 21%
72-73°F 21%
76-77°F 17%
신규
신규
2026.04.18
69°F or below
$221 거래량
4%
70-71°F
$81 거래량
7%
72-73°F
$43 거래량
21%
74-75°F
$105 거래량
18%
76-77°F
$54 거래량
17%
78-79°F
$62 거래량
21%
80-81°F
$267 거래량
10%
82-83°F
$223 거래량
9%
84-85°F
$233 거래량
3%
86-87°F
$702 거래량
<1%
88°F or higher
$775 거래량
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects National Weather Service guidance showing a cold front sweeping into Central Texas on April 18, poised to cap Austin's high temperature in the low-to-mid 70s°F after midweek highs reached the upper 80s to low 90s°F amid lingering humidity and isolated storms. The closely bunched probabilities for 72-79°F bins stem from model spread in the Global Forecast System and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts, where frontal timing remains uncertain—earlier arrival boosts cloud cover and shower chances, favoring 72-75°F outcomes, while delays permit partial clearing and peaks near 78-79°F. Southerly winds ahead of the front and neutral ENSO conditions provide baseline warmth near April climatological norms of 79°F, with fresh NOAA updates expected April 17 to refine guidance ahead of resolution at official stations like Camp Mabry.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: Apr 16, 2026, 12:42 AM ET
거래량
$2,614종료일
2026.04.18마켓 개설일
Apr 16, 2026, 12:42 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects National Weather Service guidance showing a cold front sweeping into Central Texas on April 18, poised to cap Austin's high temperature in the low-to-mid 70s°F after midweek highs reached the upper 80s to low 90s°F amid lingering humidity and isolated storms. The closely bunched probabilities for 72-79°F bins stem from model spread in the Global Forecast System and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts, where frontal timing remains uncertain—earlier arrival boosts cloud cover and shower chances, favoring 72-75°F outcomes, while delays permit partial clearing and peaks near 78-79°F. Southerly winds ahead of the front and neutral ENSO conditions provide baseline warmth near April climatological norms of 79°F, with fresh NOAA updates expected April 17 to refine guidance ahead of resolution at official stations like Camp Mabry.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$2,614종료일
2026.04.18마켓 개설일
Apr 16, 2026, 12:42 AM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket reflects National Weather Service guidance showing a cold front sweeping into Central Texas on April 18, poised to cap Austin's high temperature in the low-to-mid 70s°F after midweek highs reached the upper 80s to low 90s°F amid lingering humidity and isolated storms. The closely bunched probabilities for 72-79°F bins stem from model spread in the Global Forecast System and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts, where frontal timing remains uncertain—earlier arrival boosts cloud cover and shower chances, favoring 72-75°F outcomes, while delays permit partial clearing and peaks near 78-79°F. Southerly winds ahead of the front and neutral ENSO conditions provide baseline warmth near April climatological norms of 79°F, with fresh NOAA updates expected April 17 to refine guidance ahead of resolution at official stations like Camp Mabry.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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