Official observational data from the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) confirm Istanbul's highest temperature on April 15, 2026, reached exactly 12°C at primary stations, driving the market-implied 100% consensus on this outcome and rendering 20°C or higher impossible. This aligns with MGM's prior weekly forecast of temperatures falling 2–4°C below seasonal norms (typically 15–16°C highs) due to a low-pressure system ushering cooler continental air and cloud cover suppressing daytime heating. Pre-event ECMWF model ensembles had hinted at low-teens maxima, but verified measurements solidified trader positioning. Scenarios challenging this would require unprecedented data revisions from MGM reanalysis, though post-validation protocols make such shifts negligible.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트4월 15일 이스탄불에서 가장 높은 기온을 기록하셨나요?
4월 15일 이스탄불에서 가장 높은 기온을 기록하셨나요?
12°C 100.0%
10°C 이하 <1%
11°C <1%
13°C <1%
$120,752 거래량
$120,752 거래량
2026.04.15
10°C 이하
아니오
11°C
아니오
12°C
예
13°C
아니오
14°C
아니오
15°C
아니오
16°C
아니오
17°C
아니오
18°C
아니오
19°C
아니오
20°C 이상
아니오
12°C 100.0%
10°C 이하 <1%
11°C <1%
13°C <1%
$120,752 거래량
$120,752 거래량
2026.04.15
10°C 이하
$4,994 거래량
아니오
11°C
$7,284 거래량
아니오
12°C
$12,585 거래량
예
13°C
$4,752 거래량
아니오
14°C
$3,924 거래량
아니오
15°C
$10,982 거래량
아니오
16°C
$33,383 거래량
아니오
17°C
$26,373 거래량
아니오
18°C
$12,612 거래량
아니오
19°C
$905 거래량
아니오
20°C 이상
$2,958 거래량
아니오
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observational data from the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) confirm Istanbul's highest temperature on April 15, 2026, reached exactly 12°C at primary stations, driving the market-implied 100% consensus on this outcome and rendering 20°C or higher impossible. This aligns with MGM's prior weekly forecast of temperatures falling 2–4°C below seasonal norms (typically 15–16°C highs) due to a low-pressure system ushering cooler continental air and cloud cover suppressing daytime heating. Pre-event ECMWF model ensembles had hinted at low-teens maxima, but verified measurements solidified trader positioning. Scenarios challenging this would require unprecedented data revisions from MGM reanalysis, though post-validation protocols make such shifts negligible.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: Apr 13, 2026, 12:19 AM ET
거래량
$120,752종료일
2026.04.15마켓 개설일
Apr 13, 2026, 12:19 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...결과 제안됨: 아니오
이의 없음
최종 결과: 아니오
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observational data from the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) confirm Istanbul's highest temperature on April 15, 2026, reached exactly 12°C at primary stations, driving the market-implied 100% consensus on this outcome and rendering 20°C or higher impossible. This aligns with MGM's prior weekly forecast of temperatures falling 2–4°C below seasonal norms (typically 15–16°C highs) due to a low-pressure system ushering cooler continental air and cloud cover suppressing daytime heating. Pre-event ECMWF model ensembles had hinted at low-teens maxima, but verified measurements solidified trader positioning. Scenarios challenging this would require unprecedented data revisions from MGM reanalysis, though post-validation protocols make such shifts negligible.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$120,752종료일
2026.04.15마켓 개설일
Apr 13, 2026, 12:19 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...결과 제안됨: 아니오
이의 없음
최종 결과: 아니오
Official observational data from the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) confirm Istanbul's highest temperature on April 15, 2026, reached exactly 12°C at primary stations, driving the market-implied 100% consensus on this outcome and rendering 20°C or higher impossible. This aligns with MGM's prior weekly forecast of temperatures falling 2–4°C below seasonal norms (typically 15–16°C highs) due to a low-pressure system ushering cooler continental air and cloud cover suppressing daytime heating. Pre-event ECMWF model ensembles had hinted at low-teens maxima, but verified measurements solidified trader positioning. Scenarios challenging this would require unprecedented data revisions from MGM reanalysis, though post-validation protocols make such shifts negligible.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
자주 묻는 질문