Latest Météo-France guidance and ECMWF ensemble means project Paris highs near 20-21°C on April 17 under persistent anticyclonic conditions and mild southerly flows, aligning trader sentiment with those outcomes at 34.5% for 21°C, 21.5% for 20°C, and 21% for 22°C. Yesterday's 19°C high and April 15's 22°C reflect this above-climatological (16°C average) spring warmth, but high uncertainty stems from model spread on cloud cover and potential scattered showers limiting peak solar insolation. Key variables include timing of diurnal heating at Charles de Gaulle Airport—resolution site—wind shifts, and overnight recovery; new short-range GFS/ECMWF updates today could refine odds before hourly observations resolve the market.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트4월 17일 파리에서 가장 높은 기온?
4월 17일 파리에서 가장 높은 기온?
21°C 35%
20°C 22%
22°C 19%
19°C 13%
$35,994 거래량
$35,994 거래량
16°C 이하
1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
2%
19°C
13%
20°C
22%
21°C
35%
22°C
19%
23°C
3%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C 이상
<1%
21°C 35%
20°C 22%
22°C 19%
19°C 13%
$35,994 거래량
$35,994 거래량
16°C 이하
1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
2%
19°C
13%
20°C
22%
21°C
35%
22°C
19%
23°C
3%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C 이상
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: Apr 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Latest Météo-France guidance and ECMWF ensemble means project Paris highs near 20-21°C on April 17 under persistent anticyclonic conditions and mild southerly flows, aligning trader sentiment with those outcomes at 34.5% for 21°C, 21.5% for 20°C, and 21% for 22°C. Yesterday's 19°C high and April 15's 22°C reflect this above-climatological (16°C average) spring warmth, but high uncertainty stems from model spread on cloud cover and potential scattered showers limiting peak solar insolation. Key variables include timing of diurnal heating at Charles de Gaulle Airport—resolution site—wind shifts, and overnight recovery; new short-range GFS/ECMWF updates today could refine odds before hourly observations resolve the market.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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