Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 27°C at 100% implied probability for Wuhan's highest temperature on April 17, backed by official observations from the China Meteorological Administration at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport, where the daily maximum peaked at 27°C amid partly cloudy skies and moderate humidity around 65%. This aligns precisely with pre-day forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models, which incorporated regional spring patterns—average April highs near 22°C but with potential for 27°C under light winds and limited rain suppression. Strong scientific consensus from real-time METAR reports (e.g., 25°C late afternoon) and historical station reliability leaves little room for revision; only an unlikely official data correction from a missed peak reading could challenge this positioning before resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Wuhan on April 17?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on April 17?
27°C 100.0%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$78,691 거래량
$78,691 거래량
27°C
100%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
27°C 100.0%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$78,691 거래량
$78,691 거래량
27°C
100%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: Apr 15, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 27°C at 100% implied probability for Wuhan's highest temperature on April 17, backed by official observations from the China Meteorological Administration at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport, where the daily maximum peaked at 27°C amid partly cloudy skies and moderate humidity around 65%. This aligns precisely with pre-day forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models, which incorporated regional spring patterns—average April highs near 22°C but with potential for 27°C under light winds and limited rain suppression. Strong scientific consensus from real-time METAR reports (e.g., 25°C late afternoon) and historical station reliability leaves little room for revision; only an unlikely official data correction from a missed peak reading could challenge this positioning before resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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