Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight clustering in major forecast models, with ECMWF and GFS ensembles projecting Chengdu's highest temperature around 28°C on April 17, per the latest 12Z runs, amid a high-pressure ridge promoting subsidence and clearing skies after today's overcast conditions. The China Meteorological Administration forecasts a sunny day with highs near 29°C at Shuangliu International Airport, the resolution station, while AccuWeather edges higher at 30°C under partly cloudy skies—elevating those outcomes slightly despite lower implied probabilities. Differentiation hinges on low-level moisture advection and timing of diurnal cloud dissipation; lingering haze could cap at 27°C, full clearing push to 29°C. Above mid-April climatological norms of 22–25°C, watch CMA's next update for refinements ahead of resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Chengdu on April 17?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on April 17?
28°C 32%
27°C 28%
29°C 22%
26°C 7%
신규
$20,542 거래량
신규
$20,542 거래량
2026.04.17
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
2%
26°C
7%
27°C
28%
28°C
32%
29°C
22%
30°C
5%
31°C
2%
32°C or higher
1%
28°C 32%
27°C 28%
29°C 22%
26°C 7%
신규
$20,542 거래량
신규
$20,542 거래량
2026.04.17
22°C or below
$2,962 거래량
<1%
23°C
$4,435 거래량
<1%
24°C
$3,019 거래량
1%
25°C
$1,417 거래량
2%
26°C
$1,575 거래량
7%
27°C
$1,288 거래량
28%
28°C
$512 거래량
32%
29°C
$451 거래량
22%
30°C
$1,795 거래량
5%
31°C
$1,583 거래량
2%
32°C or higher
$1,604 거래량
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight clustering in major forecast models, with ECMWF and GFS ensembles projecting Chengdu's highest temperature around 28°C on April 17, per the latest 12Z runs, amid a high-pressure ridge promoting subsidence and clearing skies after today's overcast conditions. The China Meteorological Administration forecasts a sunny day with highs near 29°C at Shuangliu International Airport, the resolution station, while AccuWeather edges higher at 30°C under partly cloudy skies—elevating those outcomes slightly despite lower implied probabilities. Differentiation hinges on low-level moisture advection and timing of diurnal cloud dissipation; lingering haze could cap at 27°C, full clearing push to 29°C. Above mid-April climatological norms of 22–25°C, watch CMA's next update for refinements ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: Apr 15, 2026, 12:11 AM ET
거래량
$20,542종료일
2026.04.17마켓 개설일
Apr 15, 2026, 12:11 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight clustering in major forecast models, with ECMWF and GFS ensembles projecting Chengdu's highest temperature around 28°C on April 17, per the latest 12Z runs, amid a high-pressure ridge promoting subsidence and clearing skies after today's overcast conditions. The China Meteorological Administration forecasts a sunny day with highs near 29°C at Shuangliu International Airport, the resolution station, while AccuWeather edges higher at 30°C under partly cloudy skies—elevating those outcomes slightly despite lower implied probabilities. Differentiation hinges on low-level moisture advection and timing of diurnal cloud dissipation; lingering haze could cap at 27°C, full clearing push to 29°C. Above mid-April climatological norms of 22–25°C, watch CMA's next update for refinements ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$20,542종료일
2026.04.17마켓 개설일
Apr 15, 2026, 12:11 AM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight clustering in major forecast models, with ECMWF and GFS ensembles projecting Chengdu's highest temperature around 28°C on April 17, per the latest 12Z runs, amid a high-pressure ridge promoting subsidence and clearing skies after today's overcast conditions. The China Meteorological Administration forecasts a sunny day with highs near 29°C at Shuangliu International Airport, the resolution station, while AccuWeather edges higher at 30°C under partly cloudy skies—elevating those outcomes slightly despite lower implied probabilities. Differentiation hinges on low-level moisture advection and timing of diurnal cloud dissipation; lingering haze could cap at 27°C, full clearing push to 29°C. Above mid-April climatological norms of 22–25°C, watch CMA's next update for refinements ahead of resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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