Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 60% implied probability for Panama City, Florida's highest temperature reaching 31°C (88°F) or higher on April 19, driven by strengthening upper-level ridging over the Southeast U.S. promoting subsidence, clear skies, and efficient surface heating under light southeast winds around 10 mph. National Weather Service guidance as of April 17 forecasts highs near 83°F (28°C) amid mostly sunny conditions following patchy morning fog, supporting 17% odds each for 29°C (84°F) and 30°C (86°F), while recent observations like 84°F on April 14 validate the warm bias above April climatological averages of 77–79°F. Ensemble model spread introduces uncertainty, with hotter outliers possible; monitor daily NOAA updates for refinements before resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Panama City on April 19?
Highest temperature in Panama City on April 19?
31°C or higher 65%
29°C 17%
30°C 17%
28°C 7%
21°C or below
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
4%
28°C
7%
29°C
17%
30°C
17%
31°C or higher
65%
31°C or higher 65%
29°C 17%
30°C 17%
28°C 7%
21°C or below
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
4%
28°C
7%
29°C
17%
30°C
17%
31°C or higher
65%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: Apr 17, 2026, 12:41 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 60% implied probability for Panama City, Florida's highest temperature reaching 31°C (88°F) or higher on April 19, driven by strengthening upper-level ridging over the Southeast U.S. promoting subsidence, clear skies, and efficient surface heating under light southeast winds around 10 mph. National Weather Service guidance as of April 17 forecasts highs near 83°F (28°C) amid mostly sunny conditions following patchy morning fog, supporting 17% odds each for 29°C (84°F) and 30°C (86°F), while recent observations like 84°F on April 14 validate the warm bias above April climatological averages of 77–79°F. Ensemble model spread introduces uncertainty, with hotter outliers possible; monitor daily NOAA updates for refinements before resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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