Trader consensus on Polymarket favors 74-75°F (31.5% implied probability) as Houston's highest temperature on April 19, driven by the latest National Weather Service (NWS) Houston/Galveston guidance anticipating a cold front's passage over Southeast Texas this weekend. Recent forecast discussions highlight showers and thunderstorms likely Saturday, followed by post-frontal cooling with northeast winds of 20-30 knots ushering cooler air masses and highs in the low-to-mid 70s, a drop from midweek upper 80s under high pressure. Differentiating factors include frontal timing uncertainty—earlier arrival boosts cloud cover and 70-73°F odds (42.5% combined), while delays favor 76-77°F (17.5%)—alongside model variability in precipitation extent. Watch NWS updates Saturday for refined guidance ahead of resolution at official observing sites like IAH.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Houston on April 19?
Highest temperature in Houston on April 19?
74-75°F 31%
72-73°F 24%
70-71°F 19%
78-79°F 16%
65°F or below
1%
66-67°F
3%
68-69°F
9%
70-71°F
19%
72-73°F
24%
74-75°F
31%
76-77°F
14%
78-79°F
9%
80-81°F
3%
82-83°F
2%
84°F or higher
2%
74-75°F 31%
72-73°F 24%
70-71°F 19%
78-79°F 16%
65°F or below
1%
66-67°F
3%
68-69°F
9%
70-71°F
19%
72-73°F
24%
74-75°F
31%
76-77°F
14%
78-79°F
9%
80-81°F
3%
82-83°F
2%
84°F or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: Apr 17, 2026, 12:23 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Trader consensus on Polymarket favors 74-75°F (31.5% implied probability) as Houston's highest temperature on April 19, driven by the latest National Weather Service (NWS) Houston/Galveston guidance anticipating a cold front's passage over Southeast Texas this weekend. Recent forecast discussions highlight showers and thunderstorms likely Saturday, followed by post-frontal cooling with northeast winds of 20-30 knots ushering cooler air masses and highs in the low-to-mid 70s, a drop from midweek upper 80s under high pressure. Differentiating factors include frontal timing uncertainty—earlier arrival boosts cloud cover and 70-73°F odds (42.5% combined), while delays favor 76-77°F (17.5%)—alongside model variability in precipitation extent. Watch NWS updates Saturday for refined guidance ahead of resolution at official observing sites like IAH.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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