Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 13°C (39.5%) and 12°C (32%) as Istanbul's highest temperature today, driven by Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) observations and recent ECMWF/GFS model runs indicating persistent overcast skies, northeast winds at 15-17 mph, and morning temperatures around 10°C at Istanbul Airport (LTFM METAR data). These conditions suppress solar insolation and advect cooler Black Sea air, capping highs below April climatological norms of 15-16°C. Differentiating factors include cloud cover density—full overcast favors 12°C, while minor thinning could enable 13-14°C peaks this afternoon. Hourly airport observations through evening will clarify the outcome amid inherent short-term forecast uncertainty.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Istanbul on April 17?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on April 17?
13°C 41%
12°C 32%
11°C 18%
14°C 16%
신규
$21,144 거래량
신규
$21,144 거래량
2026.04.17
10°C
1%
11°C
18%
12°C
32%
13°C
41%
14°C
16%
15°C
2%
16°C
1%
17°C
<1%
18°C or higher
<1%
13°C 41%
12°C 32%
11°C 18%
14°C 16%
신규
$21,144 거래량
신규
$21,144 거래량
2026.04.17
10°C
$2,880 거래량
1%
11°C
$4,162 거래량
18%
12°C
$849 거래량
32%
13°C
$1,213 거래량
41%
14°C
$1,112 거래량
16%
15°C
$2,374 거래량
2%
16°C
$1,306 거래량
1%
17°C
$1,313 거래량
<1%
18°C or higher
$1,483 거래량
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 13°C (39.5%) and 12°C (32%) as Istanbul's highest temperature today, driven by Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) observations and recent ECMWF/GFS model runs indicating persistent overcast skies, northeast winds at 15-17 mph, and morning temperatures around 10°C at Istanbul Airport (LTFM METAR data). These conditions suppress solar insolation and advect cooler Black Sea air, capping highs below April climatological norms of 15-16°C. Differentiating factors include cloud cover density—full overcast favors 12°C, while minor thinning could enable 13-14°C peaks this afternoon. Hourly airport observations through evening will clarify the outcome amid inherent short-term forecast uncertainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: Apr 15, 2026, 12:22 AM ET
거래량
$21,144종료일
2026.04.17마켓 개설일
Apr 15, 2026, 12:22 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 13°C (39.5%) and 12°C (32%) as Istanbul's highest temperature today, driven by Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) observations and recent ECMWF/GFS model runs indicating persistent overcast skies, northeast winds at 15-17 mph, and morning temperatures around 10°C at Istanbul Airport (LTFM METAR data). These conditions suppress solar insolation and advect cooler Black Sea air, capping highs below April climatological norms of 15-16°C. Differentiating factors include cloud cover density—full overcast favors 12°C, while minor thinning could enable 13-14°C peaks this afternoon. Hourly airport observations through evening will clarify the outcome amid inherent short-term forecast uncertainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$21,144종료일
2026.04.17마켓 개설일
Apr 15, 2026, 12:22 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 13°C (39.5%) and 12°C (32%) as Istanbul's highest temperature today, driven by Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) observations and recent ECMWF/GFS model runs indicating persistent overcast skies, northeast winds at 15-17 mph, and morning temperatures around 10°C at Istanbul Airport (LTFM METAR data). These conditions suppress solar insolation and advect cooler Black Sea air, capping highs below April climatological norms of 15-16°C. Differentiating factors include cloud cover density—full overcast favors 12°C, while minor thinning could enable 13-14°C peaks this afternoon. Hourly airport observations through evening will clarify the outcome amid inherent short-term forecast uncertainty.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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