Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in forecast models like ECMWF and GFS, which project peak temperatures of 34–36°C at Ben Gurion International Airport amid a strengthening subtropical high pressure ridge causing subsidence warming and easterly winds advecting dry desert air from Jordan. Recent Israel Meteorological Service observations show temperatures climbing from 27°C on April 14 to 32–34°C on April 15, fueling bets on further escalation, though coastal sea breezes and potential afternoon cloudiness introduce variability that differentiates 35°C (33.5% implied probability), 36°C (28.5%), and 37°C or higher (39.5%). IMS guidance notes hazy conditions and northerly gusts later today, with real-time NOAA METAR data at the airport determining resolution by day's end.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트4월 16일 텔아비브에서 가장 높은 온도는?
4월 16일 텔아비브에서 가장 높은 온도는?
37°C 이상 29.9%
35°C 29%
36°C 27%
34°C 9%
신규
$31,986 거래량
신규
$31,986 거래량
2026.04.16
27°C 이하
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
7%
34°C
9%
35°C
33%
36°C
27%
37°C 이상
30%
37°C 이상 29.9%
35°C 29%
36°C 27%
34°C 9%
신규
$31,986 거래량
신규
$31,986 거래량
2026.04.16
27°C 이하
$1,674 거래량
<1%
28°C
$3,408 거래량
<1%
29°C
$1,303 거래량
<1%
30°C
$2,683 거래량
<1%
31°C
$3,588 거래량
<1%
32°C
$3,954 거래량
<1%
33°C
$3,487 거래량
7%
34°C
$2,125 거래량
9%
35°C
$2,368 거래량
33%
36°C
$2,777 거래량
27%
37°C 이상
$4,791 거래량
30%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in forecast models like ECMWF and GFS, which project peak temperatures of 34–36°C at Ben Gurion International Airport amid a strengthening subtropical high pressure ridge causing subsidence warming and easterly winds advecting dry desert air from Jordan. Recent Israel Meteorological Service observations show temperatures climbing from 27°C on April 14 to 32–34°C on April 15, fueling bets on further escalation, though coastal sea breezes and potential afternoon cloudiness introduce variability that differentiates 35°C (33.5% implied probability), 36°C (28.5%), and 37°C or higher (39.5%). IMS guidance notes hazy conditions and northerly gusts later today, with real-time NOAA METAR data at the airport determining resolution by day's end.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: Apr 14, 2026, 6:06 PM ET
거래량
$31,986종료일
2026.04.16마켓 개설일
Apr 14, 2026, 6:06 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in forecast models like ECMWF and GFS, which project peak temperatures of 34–36°C at Ben Gurion International Airport amid a strengthening subtropical high pressure ridge causing subsidence warming and easterly winds advecting dry desert air from Jordan. Recent Israel Meteorological Service observations show temperatures climbing from 27°C on April 14 to 32–34°C on April 15, fueling bets on further escalation, though coastal sea breezes and potential afternoon cloudiness introduce variability that differentiates 35°C (33.5% implied probability), 36°C (28.5%), and 37°C or higher (39.5%). IMS guidance notes hazy conditions and northerly gusts later today, with real-time NOAA METAR data at the airport determining resolution by day's end.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$31,986종료일
2026.04.16마켓 개설일
Apr 14, 2026, 6:06 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in forecast models like ECMWF and GFS, which project peak temperatures of 34–36°C at Ben Gurion International Airport amid a strengthening subtropical high pressure ridge causing subsidence warming and easterly winds advecting dry desert air from Jordan. Recent Israel Meteorological Service observations show temperatures climbing from 27°C on April 14 to 32–34°C on April 15, fueling bets on further escalation, though coastal sea breezes and potential afternoon cloudiness introduce variability that differentiates 35°C (33.5% implied probability), 36°C (28.5%), and 37°C or higher (39.5%). IMS guidance notes hazy conditions and northerly gusts later today, with real-time NOAA METAR data at the airport determining resolution by day's end.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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