Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects sharp uncertainty in short-range forecasts for Moscow's highest temperature on April 18, with 6°C or below edging out at 50.5% implied probability amid warnings of a weekend cold snap from Russia's Meteo forecasting center, while 16°C or higher holds steady at 50% on potential ridging aloft. Recent Rosgidromet observations logged April 15 highs near 12°C under cloudy showers and thunderstorms—above seasonal norms of 11–12°C—but an incoming Arctic front risks plunging advection, per Yandex Weather's outlook of 8–9°C highs with light rain or sleet. Model ensembles like ECMWF and GFS diverge on frontal timing and jet stream steering; new 00Z runs expected April 16–17 could clarify, as resolution hinges on official Vnukovo Airport measurements.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Moscow on April 18?
Highest temperature in Moscow on April 18?
10°C 31%
9°C 27%
11°C 27%
8°C 24%
신규
신규
2026.04.18
6°C or below
4%
7°C
8%
8°C
24%
9°C
27%
10°C
31%
11°C
27%
12°C
19%
13°C
17%
14°C
4%
15°C
1%
16°C or higher
1%
10°C 31%
9°C 27%
11°C 27%
8°C 24%
신규
신규
2026.04.18
6°C or below
$46 거래량
4%
7°C
$46 거래량
8%
8°C
$6 거래량
24%
9°C
$19 거래량
27%
10°C
$7 거래량
31%
11°C
$19 거래량
27%
12°C
$13 거래량
19%
13°C
$22 거래량
17%
14°C
$96 거래량
4%
15°C
$96 거래량
1%
16°C or higher
$96 거래량
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects sharp uncertainty in short-range forecasts for Moscow's highest temperature on April 18, with 6°C or below edging out at 50.5% implied probability amid warnings of a weekend cold snap from Russia's Meteo forecasting center, while 16°C or higher holds steady at 50% on potential ridging aloft. Recent Rosgidromet observations logged April 15 highs near 12°C under cloudy showers and thunderstorms—above seasonal norms of 11–12°C—but an incoming Arctic front risks plunging advection, per Yandex Weather's outlook of 8–9°C highs with light rain or sleet. Model ensembles like ECMWF and GFS diverge on frontal timing and jet stream steering; new 00Z runs expected April 16–17 could clarify, as resolution hinges on official Vnukovo Airport measurements.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: Apr 16, 2026, 1:48 AM ET
거래량
$450종료일
2026.04.18마켓 개설일
Apr 16, 2026, 1:48 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects sharp uncertainty in short-range forecasts for Moscow's highest temperature on April 18, with 6°C or below edging out at 50.5% implied probability amid warnings of a weekend cold snap from Russia's Meteo forecasting center, while 16°C or higher holds steady at 50% on potential ridging aloft. Recent Rosgidromet observations logged April 15 highs near 12°C under cloudy showers and thunderstorms—above seasonal norms of 11–12°C—but an incoming Arctic front risks plunging advection, per Yandex Weather's outlook of 8–9°C highs with light rain or sleet. Model ensembles like ECMWF and GFS diverge on frontal timing and jet stream steering; new 00Z runs expected April 16–17 could clarify, as resolution hinges on official Vnukovo Airport measurements.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$450종료일
2026.04.18마켓 개설일
Apr 16, 2026, 1:48 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects sharp uncertainty in short-range forecasts for Moscow's highest temperature on April 18, with 6°C or below edging out at 50.5% implied probability amid warnings of a weekend cold snap from Russia's Meteo forecasting center, while 16°C or higher holds steady at 50% on potential ridging aloft. Recent Rosgidromet observations logged April 15 highs near 12°C under cloudy showers and thunderstorms—above seasonal norms of 11–12°C—but an incoming Arctic front risks plunging advection, per Yandex Weather's outlook of 8–9°C highs with light rain or sleet. Model ensembles like ECMWF and GFS diverge on frontal timing and jet stream steering; new 00Z runs expected April 16–17 could clarify, as resolution hinges on official Vnukovo Airport measurements.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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