Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 37% implied probability for Moscow's highest temperature reaching exactly 12°C on April 17, closely followed by 13°C at 20% and 11°C at 17.5%, reflecting the latest forecast model consensus from Russian services like World-Weather.ru and Meteum.ai, which project daytime highs of 11–13°C under cloudy conditions with low wind speeds around 1 m/s and 30–90% precipitation chances. These odds stem from April 16 observations of 12°C highs amid rain and dropping pressure (751 to 748 mm Hg), signaling persistent mild spring patterns slightly above the April climatological average of 10–11°C driven by southerly flows. Inherent forecast uncertainty of ±1–2°C persists due to cloud cover variability; official Roshydromet hourly data releases will sharpen resolution as the day unfolds.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Moscow on April 17?
Highest temperature in Moscow on April 17?
12°C 37%
13°C 22%
11°C 18%
14°C 14%
$15,354 거래량
$15,354 거래량
7°C or below
1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
1%
10°C
7%
11°C
18%
12°C
37%
13°C
22%
14°C
14%
15°C
3%
16°C
1%
17°C or higher
1%
12°C 37%
13°C 22%
11°C 18%
14°C 14%
$15,354 거래량
$15,354 거래량
7°C or below
1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
1%
10°C
7%
11°C
18%
12°C
37%
13°C
22%
14°C
14%
15°C
3%
16°C
1%
17°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: Apr 15, 2026, 12:12 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 37% implied probability for Moscow's highest temperature reaching exactly 12°C on April 17, closely followed by 13°C at 20% and 11°C at 17.5%, reflecting the latest forecast model consensus from Russian services like World-Weather.ru and Meteum.ai, which project daytime highs of 11–13°C under cloudy conditions with low wind speeds around 1 m/s and 30–90% precipitation chances. These odds stem from April 16 observations of 12°C highs amid rain and dropping pressure (751 to 748 mm Hg), signaling persistent mild spring patterns slightly above the April climatological average of 10–11°C driven by southerly flows. Inherent forecast uncertainty of ±1–2°C persists due to cloud cover variability; official Roshydromet hourly data releases will sharpen resolution as the day unfolds.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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