Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 86-87°F (30.5%) and 88-89°F (26.0%) for Atlanta's highest temperature on April 18, reflecting National Weather Service guidance forecasting a sunny high near 87°F amid a dominant high-pressure ridge aloft. This positioning stems from recent model consensus—GFS and ECMWF ensembles—showing 850 mb temperatures in the mid-20s°C advecting Gulf warmth via southerly flow, enhanced by deep boundary layer mixing under subsidence. Differentiating factors include subtle variances in afternoon cloud development from dry soils (exacerbating fire danger) and urban heat island effects at Hartsfield-Jackson Airport; lower probabilities for adjacent bins arise from negligible convective risk and historical April peaks rarely exceeding 90°F. New 00Z/12Z runs tonight and tomorrow may sharpen resolution as the event nears.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Atlanta on April 18?
Highest temperature in Atlanta on April 18?
86-87°F 28%
88-89°F 26%
84-85°F 19%
90-91°F 13%
75°F or below
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
3%
82-83°F
7%
84-85°F
19%
86-87°F
28%
88-89°F
26%
90-91°F
13%
92-93°F
3%
94°F or higher
1%
86-87°F 28%
88-89°F 26%
84-85°F 19%
90-91°F 13%
75°F or below
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
3%
82-83°F
7%
84-85°F
19%
86-87°F
28%
88-89°F
26%
90-91°F
13%
92-93°F
3%
94°F or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Hartsfield-Jackson International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ga/atlanta/KATL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: Apr 16, 2026, 1:15 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Hartsfield-Jackson International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ga/atlanta/KATL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 86-87°F (30.5%) and 88-89°F (26.0%) for Atlanta's highest temperature on April 18, reflecting National Weather Service guidance forecasting a sunny high near 87°F amid a dominant high-pressure ridge aloft. This positioning stems from recent model consensus—GFS and ECMWF ensembles—showing 850 mb temperatures in the mid-20s°C advecting Gulf warmth via southerly flow, enhanced by deep boundary layer mixing under subsidence. Differentiating factors include subtle variances in afternoon cloud development from dry soils (exacerbating fire danger) and urban heat island effects at Hartsfield-Jackson Airport; lower probabilities for adjacent bins arise from negligible convective risk and historical April peaks rarely exceeding 90°F. New 00Z/12Z runs tonight and tomorrow may sharpen resolution as the event nears.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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