Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in National Weather Service guidance and GFS/ECMWF model ensembles projecting Miami's highest temperature near 83-84°F at Miami International Airport on April 17, with 84-85°F edging 82-83°F due to slightly warmer recent runs. Persistent subtropical high pressure over Florida ensures mostly sunny skies and east winds around 10-15 mph, suppressing early sea breeze development that could otherwise cap peaks at 82-83°F by advecting cooler Atlantic air inland by mid-afternoon. Differentiation hinges on ridge strength and onshore flow timing: delayed sea breeze favors 84-85°F amid above-normal insolation, while faster progression aligns with 82-83°F. April climatological normal is 84°F; watch today's 12z model updates for shifts ahead of resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트4월 17일 마이애미에서 가장 높은 기온?
4월 17일 마이애미에서 가장 높은 기온?
84-85°F 44%
82-83°F 36%
86-87°F 13%
80-81°F 5.0%
신규
$28,617 거래량
신규
$28,617 거래량
2026.04.17
71°F 이하
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
1%
78-79°F
1%
80-81°F
5%
82-83°F
36%
84-85°F
44%
86-87°F
13%
88-89°F
2%
90°F 이상
1%
84-85°F 44%
82-83°F 36%
86-87°F 13%
80-81°F 5.0%
신규
$28,617 거래량
신규
$28,617 거래량
2026.04.17
71°F 이하
$2,092 거래량
<1%
72-73°F
$1,657 거래량
<1%
74-75°F
$1,695 거래량
<1%
76-77°F
$1,649 거래량
1%
78-79°F
$2,991 거래량
1%
80-81°F
$4,339 거래량
5%
82-83°F
$2,624 거래량
36%
84-85°F
$4,914 거래량
44%
86-87°F
$2,353 거래량
13%
88-89°F
$2,450 거래량
2%
90°F 이상
$1,877 거래량
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in National Weather Service guidance and GFS/ECMWF model ensembles projecting Miami's highest temperature near 83-84°F at Miami International Airport on April 17, with 84-85°F edging 82-83°F due to slightly warmer recent runs. Persistent subtropical high pressure over Florida ensures mostly sunny skies and east winds around 10-15 mph, suppressing early sea breeze development that could otherwise cap peaks at 82-83°F by advecting cooler Atlantic air inland by mid-afternoon. Differentiation hinges on ridge strength and onshore flow timing: delayed sea breeze favors 84-85°F amid above-normal insolation, while faster progression aligns with 82-83°F. April climatological normal is 84°F; watch today's 12z model updates for shifts ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: Apr 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
거래량
$28,617종료일
2026.04.17마켓 개설일
Apr 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in National Weather Service guidance and GFS/ECMWF model ensembles projecting Miami's highest temperature near 83-84°F at Miami International Airport on April 17, with 84-85°F edging 82-83°F due to slightly warmer recent runs. Persistent subtropical high pressure over Florida ensures mostly sunny skies and east winds around 10-15 mph, suppressing early sea breeze development that could otherwise cap peaks at 82-83°F by advecting cooler Atlantic air inland by mid-afternoon. Differentiation hinges on ridge strength and onshore flow timing: delayed sea breeze favors 84-85°F amid above-normal insolation, while faster progression aligns with 82-83°F. April climatological normal is 84°F; watch today's 12z model updates for shifts ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$28,617종료일
2026.04.17마켓 개설일
Apr 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in National Weather Service guidance and GFS/ECMWF model ensembles projecting Miami's highest temperature near 83-84°F at Miami International Airport on April 17, with 84-85°F edging 82-83°F due to slightly warmer recent runs. Persistent subtropical high pressure over Florida ensures mostly sunny skies and east winds around 10-15 mph, suppressing early sea breeze development that could otherwise cap peaks at 82-83°F by advecting cooler Atlantic air inland by mid-afternoon. Differentiation hinges on ridge strength and onshore flow timing: delayed sea breeze favors 84-85°F amid above-normal insolation, while faster progression aligns with 82-83°F. April climatological normal is 84°F; watch today's 12z model updates for shifts ahead of resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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