Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects the latest Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) guidance and AccuWeather forecasts projecting a high temperature of 23–25°C in Buenos Aires on April 17 under partly sunny skies with light winds, capping the closely matched leading outcomes at over 80% combined implied probability. Recent showers on April 16 and moderating northerly flow have cooled the profile from earlier April's above-normal anomaly (+1°C monthly mean), tempering intensification potential. Differentiating factors include model spread—such as GFS leaning slightly warmer at 25°C versus ECMWF nearer 24°C—driven by uncertainty in afternoon cloud cover variability and urban heat island amplification during peak solar heating around 3–4 p.m. Final resolution hinges on official Aeroparque station readings, with SMN updates expected hourly through the day.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on April 17?
Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on April 17?
25°C 29%
24°C 28%
26°C 22%
23°C 10%
$22,428 거래량
$22,428 거래량
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
4%
23°C
10%
24°C
28%
25°C
29%
26°C
22%
27°C
4%
28°C or higher
3%
25°C 29%
24°C 28%
26°C 22%
23°C 10%
$22,428 거래량
$22,428 거래량
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
4%
23°C
10%
24°C
28%
25°C
29%
26°C
22%
27°C
4%
28°C or higher
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: Apr 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects the latest Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) guidance and AccuWeather forecasts projecting a high temperature of 23–25°C in Buenos Aires on April 17 under partly sunny skies with light winds, capping the closely matched leading outcomes at over 80% combined implied probability. Recent showers on April 16 and moderating northerly flow have cooled the profile from earlier April's above-normal anomaly (+1°C monthly mean), tempering intensification potential. Differentiating factors include model spread—such as GFS leaning slightly warmer at 25°C versus ECMWF nearer 24°C—driven by uncertainty in afternoon cloud cover variability and urban heat island amplification during peak solar heating around 3–4 p.m. Final resolution hinges on official Aeroparque station readings, with SMN updates expected hourly through the day.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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