Provisional results from Hungary's April 12 parliamentary election show Fidesz-KDNP securing 39.56% of the party list popular vote with 98.94% of precincts reporting and record 79.56% turnout, driving trader consensus heavily toward the 36-40% outcome as Viktor Orbán conceded defeat to Péter Magyar's surging Tisza party, projected for a two-thirds supermajority. Pre-election polls averaging around 39% anticipated this sharp drop from Fidesz's historical 50%+ shares, fueled by anti-corruption backlash, economic discontent, and unified opposition momentum. Final certification by the National Election Committee, expected in early May, could see minor tweaks from overseas and special ballots, though legal challenges from Mi Hazánk are unlikely to alter the bin significantly.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트36-40% 97.5%
40-44% 2.3%
36% 미만 <1%
44~48% <1%
$144,319 거래량
$144,319 거래량
2026.04.12
36% 미만
<1%
36-40%
98%
40-44%
2%
44~48%
<1%
48% 이상
<1%
36-40% 97.5%
40-44% 2.3%
36% 미만 <1%
44~48% <1%
$144,319 거래량
$144,319 거래량
2026.04.12
36% 미만
$37,830 거래량
<1%
36-40%
$40,661 거래량
98%
40-44%
$36,955 거래량
2%
44~48%
$16,146 거래량
<1%
48% 이상
$12,727 거래량
<1%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026. Hungary uses a mixed electoral system in which most voters cast two votes: one for a candidate in a single-member constituency and one for a national party list.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of all valid national party list votes won by Fidesz-KDNP in this election.
This market will resolve solely based on national party list votes cast in this election. Votes cast for single-member constituencies will not be considered.
If the percentage of all valid national party list votes won by Fidesz-KDNP falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official election results reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu). However, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also suffice.
Note: If the Fidesz-KDNP does not contest this election with a joint national party list, the market will resolve according to the percentage of valid national party list votes won by Fidesz.Provisional results from Hungary's April 12 parliamentary election show Fidesz-KDNP securing 39.56% of the party list popular vote with 98.94% of precincts reporting and record 79.56% turnout, driving trader consensus heavily toward the 36-40% outcome as Viktor Orbán conceded defeat to Péter Magyar's surging Tisza party, projected for a two-thirds supermajority. Pre-election polls averaging around 39% anticipated this sharp drop from Fidesz's historical 50%+ shares, fueled by anti-corruption backlash, economic discontent, and unified opposition momentum. Final certification by the National Election Committee, expected in early May, could see minor tweaks from overseas and special ballots, though legal challenges from Mi Hazánk are unlikely to alter the bin significantly.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026. Hungary uses a mixed electoral system in which most voters cast two votes: one for a candidate in a single-member constituency and one for a national party list.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of all valid national party list votes won by Fidesz-KDNP in this election.
This market will resolve solely based on national party list votes cast in this election. Votes cast for single-member constituencies will not be considered.
If the percentage of all valid national party list votes won by Fidesz-KDNP falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official election results reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu). However, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also suffice.
Note: If the Fidesz-KDNP does not contest this election with a joint national party list, the market will resolve according to the percentage of valid national party list votes won by Fidesz.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of all valid national party list votes won by Fidesz-KDNP in this election.
This market will resolve solely based on national party list votes cast in this election. Votes cast for single-member constituencies will not be considered.
If the percentage of all valid national party list votes won by Fidesz-KDNP falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official election results reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu). However, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also suffice.
Note: If the Fidesz-KDNP does not contest this election with a joint national party list, the market will resolve according to the percentage of valid national party list votes won by Fidesz.
마켓 개설일: Mar 16, 2026, 2:28 PM ET
거래량
$144,319종료일
2026.04.12마켓 개설일
Mar 16, 2026, 2:28 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026. Hungary uses a mixed electoral system in which most voters cast two votes: one for a candidate in a single-member constituency and one for a national party list.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of all valid national party list votes won by Fidesz-KDNP in this election.
This market will resolve solely based on national party list votes cast in this election. Votes cast for single-member constituencies will not be considered.
If the percentage of all valid national party list votes won by Fidesz-KDNP falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official election results reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu). However, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also suffice.
Note: If the Fidesz-KDNP does not contest this election with a joint national party list, the market will resolve according to the percentage of valid national party list votes won by Fidesz.Provisional results from Hungary's April 12 parliamentary election show Fidesz-KDNP securing 39.56% of the party list popular vote with 98.94% of precincts reporting and record 79.56% turnout, driving trader consensus heavily toward the 36-40% outcome as Viktor Orbán conceded defeat to Péter Magyar's surging Tisza party, projected for a two-thirds supermajority. Pre-election polls averaging around 39% anticipated this sharp drop from Fidesz's historical 50%+ shares, fueled by anti-corruption backlash, economic discontent, and unified opposition momentum. Final certification by the National Election Committee, expected in early May, could see minor tweaks from overseas and special ballots, though legal challenges from Mi Hazánk are unlikely to alter the bin significantly.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026. Hungary uses a mixed electoral system in which most voters cast two votes: one for a candidate in a single-member constituency and one for a national party list.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of all valid national party list votes won by Fidesz-KDNP in this election.
This market will resolve solely based on national party list votes cast in this election. Votes cast for single-member constituencies will not be considered.
If the percentage of all valid national party list votes won by Fidesz-KDNP falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official election results reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu). However, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also suffice.
Note: If the Fidesz-KDNP does not contest this election with a joint national party list, the market will resolve according to the percentage of valid national party list votes won by Fidesz.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of all valid national party list votes won by Fidesz-KDNP in this election.
This market will resolve solely based on national party list votes cast in this election. Votes cast for single-member constituencies will not be considered.
If the percentage of all valid national party list votes won by Fidesz-KDNP falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official election results reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu). However, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also suffice.
Note: If the Fidesz-KDNP does not contest this election with a joint national party list, the market will resolve according to the percentage of valid national party list votes won by Fidesz.
거래량
$144,319종료일
2026.04.12마켓 개설일
Mar 16, 2026, 2:28 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Provisional results from Hungary's April 12 parliamentary election show Fidesz-KDNP securing 39.56% of the party list popular vote with 98.94% of precincts reporting and record 79.56% turnout, driving trader consensus heavily toward the 36-40% outcome as Viktor Orbán conceded defeat to Péter Magyar's surging Tisza party, projected for a two-thirds supermajority. Pre-election polls averaging around 39% anticipated this sharp drop from Fidesz's historical 50%+ shares, fueled by anti-corruption backlash, economic discontent, and unified opposition momentum. Final certification by the National Election Committee, expected in early May, could see minor tweaks from overseas and special ballots, though legal challenges from Mi Hazánk are unlikely to alter the bin significantly.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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