Péter Magyar's Tisza party secured a commanding lead in Hungary's April 12 parliamentary election popular vote, capturing around 52% to Fidesz–KDNP's 39% with over 98% of ballots counted by April 15, driving trader consensus to 99.4% on Tisza as winner. Record turnout of 77.8% reflected widespread anti-incumbency after Viktor Orbán's 16-year rule, culminating in his public concession and Tisza's projected supermajority in the 199-seat National Assembly under the mixed-member proportional representation system. This shift promises policy realignments on EU ties and anti-corruption. While final certification by the National Election Commission remains, the 13-point margin leaves scant room for realistic challenges absent major recounts or legal interventions.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트티사 99.4%
피데스–KDNP <1%
기타 <1%
$1,816,732 거래량
$1,816,732 거래량
2026.04.12
피데스–KDNP
<1%
티사
99%
기타
<1%
티사 99.4%
피데스–KDNP <1%
기타 <1%
$1,816,732 거래량
$1,816,732 거래량
2026.04.12
피데스–KDNP
$698,243 거래량
<1%
티사
$798,449 거래량
99%
기타
$320,040 거래량
<1%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026. Hungary uses a mixed electoral system in which most voters cast two votes: one for a candidate in a single-member constituency and one for a national party list.
This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition whose national candidate list receives the most valid national party list votes in this election.
This market will resolve solely based on national party list votes cast in this election. Votes cast for single-member constituencies will not be considered.
If two or more parties/coalitions tie for the most valid national party list votes in this election, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If any unlisted party wins the most national list votes in this election, or the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the official election results reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu). However, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also suffice.
Note: If the Fidesz-KDNP does not contest this election with a joint national party list, the Fidesz-KDNP option will represent the national party list officially registered by Fidesz.Péter Magyar's Tisza party secured a commanding lead in Hungary's April 12 parliamentary election popular vote, capturing around 52% to Fidesz–KDNP's 39% with over 98% of ballots counted by April 15, driving trader consensus to 99.4% on Tisza as winner. Record turnout of 77.8% reflected widespread anti-incumbency after Viktor Orbán's 16-year rule, culminating in his public concession and Tisza's projected supermajority in the 199-seat National Assembly under the mixed-member proportional representation system. This shift promises policy realignments on EU ties and anti-corruption. While final certification by the National Election Commission remains, the 13-point margin leaves scant room for realistic challenges absent major recounts or legal interventions.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026. Hungary uses a mixed electoral system in which most voters cast two votes: one for a candidate in a single-member constituency and one for a national party list.
This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition whose national candidate list receives the most valid national party list votes in this election.
This market will resolve solely based on national party list votes cast in this election. Votes cast for single-member constituencies will not be considered.
If two or more parties/coalitions tie for the most valid national party list votes in this election, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If any unlisted party wins the most national list votes in this election, or the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the official election results reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu). However, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also suffice.
Note: If the Fidesz-KDNP does not contest this election with a joint national party list, the Fidesz-KDNP option will represent the national party list officially registered by Fidesz.
This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition whose national candidate list receives the most valid national party list votes in this election.
This market will resolve solely based on national party list votes cast in this election. Votes cast for single-member constituencies will not be considered.
If two or more parties/coalitions tie for the most valid national party list votes in this election, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If any unlisted party wins the most national list votes in this election, or the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the official election results reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu). However, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also suffice.
Note: If the Fidesz-KDNP does not contest this election with a joint national party list, the Fidesz-KDNP option will represent the national party list officially registered by Fidesz.
마켓 개설일: Mar 5, 2026, 4:12 PM ET
거래량
$1,816,732종료일
2026.04.12마켓 개설일
Mar 5, 2026, 4:12 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026. Hungary uses a mixed electoral system in which most voters cast two votes: one for a candidate in a single-member constituency and one for a national party list.
This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition whose national candidate list receives the most valid national party list votes in this election.
This market will resolve solely based on national party list votes cast in this election. Votes cast for single-member constituencies will not be considered.
If two or more parties/coalitions tie for the most valid national party list votes in this election, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If any unlisted party wins the most national list votes in this election, or the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the official election results reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu). However, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also suffice.
Note: If the Fidesz-KDNP does not contest this election with a joint national party list, the Fidesz-KDNP option will represent the national party list officially registered by Fidesz.Péter Magyar's Tisza party secured a commanding lead in Hungary's April 12 parliamentary election popular vote, capturing around 52% to Fidesz–KDNP's 39% with over 98% of ballots counted by April 15, driving trader consensus to 99.4% on Tisza as winner. Record turnout of 77.8% reflected widespread anti-incumbency after Viktor Orbán's 16-year rule, culminating in his public concession and Tisza's projected supermajority in the 199-seat National Assembly under the mixed-member proportional representation system. This shift promises policy realignments on EU ties and anti-corruption. While final certification by the National Election Commission remains, the 13-point margin leaves scant room for realistic challenges absent major recounts or legal interventions.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026. Hungary uses a mixed electoral system in which most voters cast two votes: one for a candidate in a single-member constituency and one for a national party list.
This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition whose national candidate list receives the most valid national party list votes in this election.
This market will resolve solely based on national party list votes cast in this election. Votes cast for single-member constituencies will not be considered.
If two or more parties/coalitions tie for the most valid national party list votes in this election, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If any unlisted party wins the most national list votes in this election, or the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the official election results reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu). However, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also suffice.
Note: If the Fidesz-KDNP does not contest this election with a joint national party list, the Fidesz-KDNP option will represent the national party list officially registered by Fidesz.
This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition whose national candidate list receives the most valid national party list votes in this election.
This market will resolve solely based on national party list votes cast in this election. Votes cast for single-member constituencies will not be considered.
If two or more parties/coalitions tie for the most valid national party list votes in this election, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If any unlisted party wins the most national list votes in this election, or the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the official election results reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu). However, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also suffice.
Note: If the Fidesz-KDNP does not contest this election with a joint national party list, the Fidesz-KDNP option will represent the national party list officially registered by Fidesz.
거래량
$1,816,732종료일
2026.04.12마켓 개설일
Mar 5, 2026, 4:12 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Péter Magyar's Tisza party secured a commanding lead in Hungary's April 12 parliamentary election popular vote, capturing around 52% to Fidesz–KDNP's 39% with over 98% of ballots counted by April 15, driving trader consensus to 99.4% on Tisza as winner. Record turnout of 77.8% reflected widespread anti-incumbency after Viktor Orbán's 16-year rule, culminating in his public concession and Tisza's projected supermajority in the 199-seat National Assembly under the mixed-member proportional representation system. This shift promises policy realignments on EU ties and anti-corruption. While final certification by the National Election Commission remains, the 13-point margin leaves scant room for realistic challenges absent major recounts or legal interventions.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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