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선거·시장 선거

Newark Mayoral Election

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선거·시장 선거

Newark Mayoral Election

Ras Baraka 95%

Asha Coates-Hamlet 1.5%

Nasheedah Singleton 1.3%

Douglas Davis 1.0%

Polymarket

$13,982 거래량

Ras Baraka 95%

Asha Coates-Hamlet 1.5%

Nasheedah Singleton 1.3%

Douglas Davis 1.0%

Polymarket

$13,982 거래량

Ras Baraka

$3,171 거래량

95%

Asha Coates-Hamlet

$859 거래량

2%

Nasheedah Singleton

$963 거래량

1%

Douglas Davis

$869 거래량

1%

Sheila Montague

$1,308 거래량

1%

Jhamar Youngblood

$981 거래량

<1%

Tanisha Garner

$965 거래량

<1%

Noble Milton

$2,986 거래량

<1%

Debra Salters

$972 거래량

<1%

Louis Shockley

$909 거래량

<1%

The 2025 Newark mayoral election will be held on May 12, 2026, with a potential runoff scheduled for June 9, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Newark as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Newark.Incumbent Mayor Ras Baraka commands overwhelming trader consensus at 94.5% implied probability to win Newark's nonpartisan mayoral election on May 12, driven by his three prior terms without term limits and a field of nine low-profile challengers certified after the February 26 filing deadline, none drawing significant resources or endorsements. His April 1 State of the City address highlighted 12 years of development wins, reinforcing voter familiarity amid low reported opposition momentum. With voter registration closing April 21, markets price in incumbency advantages and historical base rates for entrenched urban mayors. Upsets remain possible via late scandals, health issues, fraud allegations prompting federal monitors, or protest turnout shifts.

The 2025 Newark mayoral election will be held on May 12, 2026, with a potential runoff scheduled for June 9, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Newark as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Newark.
거래량
$13,982
종료일
2026.05.12
마켓 개설일
Mar 10, 2026, 7:39 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The 2025 Newark mayoral election will be held on May 12, 2026, with a potential runoff scheduled for June 9, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Newark as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Newark.
The 2025 Newark mayoral election will be held on May 12, 2026, with a potential runoff scheduled for June 9, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Newark as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Newark.Incumbent Mayor Ras Baraka commands overwhelming trader consensus at 94.5% implied probability to win Newark's nonpartisan mayoral election on May 12, driven by his three prior terms without term limits and a field of nine low-profile challengers certified after the February 26 filing deadline, none drawing significant resources or endorsements. His April 1 State of the City address highlighted 12 years of development wins, reinforcing voter familiarity amid low reported opposition momentum. With voter registration closing April 21, markets price in incumbency advantages and historical base rates for entrenched urban mayors. Upsets remain possible via late scandals, health issues, fraud allegations prompting federal monitors, or protest turnout shifts.

The 2025 Newark mayoral election will be held on May 12, 2026, with a potential runoff scheduled for June 9, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Newark as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Newark.
거래량
$13,982
종료일
2026.05.12
마켓 개설일
Mar 10, 2026, 7:39 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The 2025 Newark mayoral election will be held on May 12, 2026, with a potential runoff scheduled for June 9, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Newark as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Newark.

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자주 묻는 질문

"Newark Mayoral Election"은 10개의 가능한 결과가 있는 Polymarket의 예측 마켓으로, 트레이더들이 어떤 결과가 발생할지에 따라 주식을 매수 및 매도합니다. 현재 선두 결과는 95%의 "Ras Baraka"이며, 이어서 2%의 "Asha Coates-Hamlet"입니다. 가격은 실시간 크라우드소싱 확률을 반영합니다. 예를 들어 95¢에 거래되는 주식은 마켓이 해당 결과에 95%의 확률을 부여함을 의미합니다. 이 확률은 트레이더들이 새로운 진전과 정보에 반응함에 따라 지속적으로 변화합니다. 정확한 결과의 주식은 마켓 정산 시 각 $1에 교환 가능합니다.

오늘 현재 "Newark Mayoral Election"은 총 $14K의 거래량을 생성했습니다 마켓이 Mar 10, 2026에 시작된 이후. 이 수준의 거래 활동은 Polymarket 커뮤니티의 강한 참여를 반영하며 현재 확률이 깊은 참가자 풀에 의해 정보에 기반하도록 보장합니다. 이 페이지에서 실시간 가격 변동을 추적하고 모든 결과에 직접 거래할 수 있습니다.

"Newark Mayoral Election"에서 거래하려면 이 페이지에 나열된 10개의 가용 결과를 탐색하세요. 각 결과에는 마켓의 내재 확률을 나타내는 현재 가격이 표시됩니다. 포지션을 잡으려면 가장 가능성이 높다고 생각하는 결과를 선택하고, 찬성이면 "Yes", 반대이면 "No"를 선택하고, 금액을 입력하고 "거래"를 클릭하세요. 마켓이 정산될 때 선택한 결과가 맞으면 "Yes" 주식은 각 $1을 지급합니다. 틀리면 $0을 지급합니다. 수익을 확정하거나 손실을 줄이고 싶다면 정산 전 언제든지 주식을 매도할 수 있습니다.

"Newark Mayoral Election"의 현재 유력 후보는 95%의 "Ras Baraka"이며, 마켓이 해당 결과에 95%의 확률을 부여합니다. 두 번째로 가까운 결과는 2%의 "Asha Coates-Hamlet"입니다. 이 확률은 트레이더들의 주식 매수 및 매도에 따라 실시간으로 업데이트되어 가장 가능성 있는 결과에 대한 최신 집단 시각을 반영합니다. 새로운 정보가 나타남에 따라 확률이 어떻게 변화하는지 자주 확인하거나 이 페이지를 북마크하세요.

"Newark Mayoral Election"의 정산 규칙은 각 결과가 승자로 선언되기 위해 정확히 무엇이 일어나야 하는지를 정의합니다 — 결과를 결정하는 데 사용되는 공식 데이터 소스를 포함합니다. 이 페이지의 댓글 위 "규칙" 섹션에서 완전한 정산 기준을 검토할 수 있습니다. 거래 전 규칙을 주의 깊게 읽는 것을 권장합니다. 이 마켓이 어떻게 정산되는지를 관리하는 정확한 조건, 예외 사항, 출처를 명시하고 있습니다.