Péter Magyar's Tisza party secured a two-thirds supermajority in Hungary's April 12, 2026, parliamentary election, ending Viktor Orbán's 16-year Fidesz dominance after the incumbent conceded defeat amid high turnout exceeding 79%. This landslide positions Magyar, a former Fidesz insider turned opposition leader, for swift election as prime minister by the National Assembly once it convenes, as the president will nominate him per constitutional procedure. Trader consensus at 98.7% odds reflects this structural certainty, bolstered by Tisza's standalone majority eliminating coalition risks. Challenges would require extraordinary developments like verified election disputes, parliamentary defections, or legal injunctions, though none have emerged in post-election reviews.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트페테르 머지아르 98.6%
빅토르 오르반 <1%
클라라 도브레브 <1%
라슬로 토로츠카이 <1%
$90,954,423 거래량
$90,954,423 거래량

페테르 머지아르
99%

빅토르 오르반
<1%

클라라 도브레브
<1%

라슬로 토로츠카이
<1%

이스트반 카피타니
<1%

야노시 라자르
<1%
페테르 머지아르 98.6%
빅토르 오르반 <1%
클라라 도브레브 <1%
라슬로 토로츠카이 <1%
$90,954,423 거래량
$90,954,423 거래량

페테르 머지아르
99%

빅토르 오르반
<1%

클라라 도브레브
<1%

라슬로 토로츠카이
<1%

이스트반 카피타니
<1%

야노시 라자르
<1%
This market will resolve to the individual who is next officially appointed and confirmed as Prime Minister of Hungary following the 2026 parliamentary election.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally elected and appointed to the role of Prime Minister. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister is confirmed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Hungary; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
마켓 개설일: Jul 24, 2025, 5:55 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to the individual who is next officially appointed and confirmed as Prime Minister of Hungary following the 2026 parliamentary election.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally elected and appointed to the role of Prime Minister. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister is confirmed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Hungary; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Péter Magyar's Tisza party secured a two-thirds supermajority in Hungary's April 12, 2026, parliamentary election, ending Viktor Orbán's 16-year Fidesz dominance after the incumbent conceded defeat amid high turnout exceeding 79%. This landslide positions Magyar, a former Fidesz insider turned opposition leader, for swift election as prime minister by the National Assembly once it convenes, as the president will nominate him per constitutional procedure. Trader consensus at 98.7% odds reflects this structural certainty, bolstered by Tisza's standalone majority eliminating coalition risks. Challenges would require extraordinary developments like verified election disputes, parliamentary defections, or legal injunctions, though none have emerged in post-election reviews.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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