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차기 헝가리 총리

Market icon

차기 헝가리 총리

페테르 머지아르 98.6%

빅토르 오르반 <1%

클라라 도브레브 <1%

라슬로 토로츠카이 <1%

Polymarket

$90,954,423 거래량

페테르 머지아르 98.6%

빅토르 오르반 <1%

클라라 도브레브 <1%

라슬로 토로츠카이 <1%

Polymarket

$90,954,423 거래량

헝가리의 다음 총리는 페테르 머지아르가 될까요? icon

페테르 머지아르

$21,001,604 거래량

99%

헝가리의 다음 총리는 빅토르 오르반일까요? icon

빅토르 오르반

$24,251,519 거래량

<1%

헝가리의 다음 총리는 클라라 도브레브가 될까요? icon

클라라 도브레브

$6,155,470 거래량

<1%

헝가리의 다음 총리는 라슬로 토로츠카이가 될까요? icon

라슬로 토로츠카이

$13,741,972 거래량

<1%

헝가리의 다음 총리가 이스트반 카피타니가 될까요? icon

이스트반 카피타니

$16,556,170 거래량

<1%

헝가리의 다음 총리가 야노시 라자르가 될 것인가요? icon

야노시 라자르

$9,247,726 거래량

<1%

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12 2026. This market will resolve to the individual who is next officially appointed and confirmed as Prime Minister of Hungary following the 2026 parliamentary election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally elected and appointed to the role of Prime Minister. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is confirmed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.” The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Hungary; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Péter Magyar's Tisza party secured a two-thirds supermajority in Hungary's April 12, 2026, parliamentary election, ending Viktor Orbán's 16-year Fidesz dominance after the incumbent conceded defeat amid high turnout exceeding 79%. This landslide positions Magyar, a former Fidesz insider turned opposition leader, for swift election as prime minister by the National Assembly once it convenes, as the president will nominate him per constitutional procedure. Trader consensus at 98.7% odds reflects this structural certainty, bolstered by Tisza's standalone majority eliminating coalition risks. Challenges would require extraordinary developments like verified election disputes, parliamentary defections, or legal injunctions, though none have emerged in post-election reviews.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12 2026.

This market will resolve to the individual who is next officially appointed and confirmed as Prime Minister of Hungary following the 2026 parliamentary election.

To count for resolution, the individual must be formally elected and appointed to the role of Prime Minister. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister is confirmed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Hungary; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
거래량
$90,954,423
종료일
2026.04.12
마켓 개설일
Jul 24, 2025, 5:55 PM ET
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12 2026. This market will resolve to the individual who is next officially appointed and confirmed as Prime Minister of Hungary following the 2026 parliamentary election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally elected and appointed to the role of Prime Minister. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is confirmed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.” The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Hungary; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

결과 제안됨: 아니오

이의 제기됨

결과 제안

최종 이의

최종

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12 2026. This market will resolve to the individual who is next officially appointed and confirmed as Prime Minister of Hungary following the 2026 parliamentary election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally elected and appointed to the role of Prime Minister. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is confirmed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.” The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Hungary; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Péter Magyar's Tisza party secured a two-thirds supermajority in Hungary's April 12, 2026, parliamentary election, ending Viktor Orbán's 16-year Fidesz dominance after the incumbent conceded defeat amid high turnout exceeding 79%. This landslide positions Magyar, a former Fidesz insider turned opposition leader, for swift election as prime minister by the National Assembly once it convenes, as the president will nominate him per constitutional procedure. Trader consensus at 98.7% odds reflects this structural certainty, bolstered by Tisza's standalone majority eliminating coalition risks. Challenges would require extraordinary developments like verified election disputes, parliamentary defections, or legal injunctions, though none have emerged in post-election reviews.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12 2026.

This market will resolve to the individual who is next officially appointed and confirmed as Prime Minister of Hungary following the 2026 parliamentary election.

To count for resolution, the individual must be formally elected and appointed to the role of Prime Minister. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister is confirmed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Hungary; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
거래량
$90,954,423
종료일
2026.04.12
마켓 개설일
Jul 24, 2025, 5:55 PM ET
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12 2026. This market will resolve to the individual who is next officially appointed and confirmed as Prime Minister of Hungary following the 2026 parliamentary election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally elected and appointed to the role of Prime Minister. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is confirmed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.” The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Hungary; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

결과 제안됨: 아니오

이의 제기됨

결과 제안

최종 이의

최종

외부 링크에 주의하세요.

자주 묻는 질문

"차기 헝가리 총리"은 6개의 가능한 결과가 있는 Polymarket의 예측 마켓으로, 트레이더들이 어떤 결과가 발생할지에 따라 주식을 매수 및 매도합니다. 현재 선두 결과는 99%의 "페테르 머지아르"이며, 이어서 0%의 "빅토르 오르반"입니다. 가격은 실시간 크라우드소싱 확률을 반영합니다. 예를 들어 99¢에 거래되는 주식은 마켓이 해당 결과에 99%의 확률을 부여함을 의미합니다. 이 확률은 트레이더들이 새로운 진전과 정보에 반응함에 따라 지속적으로 변화합니다. 정확한 결과의 주식은 마켓 정산 시 각 $1에 교환 가능합니다.

오늘 현재 "차기 헝가리 총리"은 총 $91 million의 거래량을 생성했습니다 마켓이 Jul 24, 2025에 시작된 이후. 이 수준의 거래 활동은 Polymarket 커뮤니티의 강한 참여를 반영하며 현재 확률이 깊은 참가자 풀에 의해 정보에 기반하도록 보장합니다. 이 페이지에서 실시간 가격 변동을 추적하고 모든 결과에 직접 거래할 수 있습니다.

"차기 헝가리 총리"에서 거래하려면 이 페이지에 나열된 6개의 가용 결과를 탐색하세요. 각 결과에는 마켓의 내재 확률을 나타내는 현재 가격이 표시됩니다. 포지션을 잡으려면 가장 가능성이 높다고 생각하는 결과를 선택하고, 찬성이면 "Yes", 반대이면 "No"를 선택하고, 금액을 입력하고 "거래"를 클릭하세요. 마켓이 정산될 때 선택한 결과가 맞으면 "Yes" 주식은 각 $1을 지급합니다. 틀리면 $0을 지급합니다. 수익을 확정하거나 손실을 줄이고 싶다면 정산 전 언제든지 주식을 매도할 수 있습니다.

"차기 헝가리 총리"의 현재 유력 후보는 99%의 "페테르 머지아르"이며, 마켓이 해당 결과에 99%의 확률을 부여합니다. 두 번째로 가까운 결과는 0%의 "빅토르 오르반"입니다. 이 확률은 트레이더들의 주식 매수 및 매도에 따라 실시간으로 업데이트되어 가장 가능성 있는 결과에 대한 최신 집단 시각을 반영합니다. 새로운 정보가 나타남에 따라 확률이 어떻게 변화하는지 자주 확인하거나 이 페이지를 북마크하세요.

"차기 헝가리 총리"의 정산 규칙은 각 결과가 승자로 선언되기 위해 정확히 무엇이 일어나야 하는지를 정의합니다 — 결과를 결정하는 데 사용되는 공식 데이터 소스를 포함합니다. 이 페이지의 댓글 위 "규칙" 섹션에서 완전한 정산 기준을 검토할 수 있습니다. 거래 전 규칙을 주의 깊게 읽는 것을 권장합니다. 이 마켓이 어떻게 정산되는지를 관리하는 정확한 조건, 예외 사항, 출처를 명시하고 있습니다.